Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
39
lifetime
Volume
$223
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$66
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-17 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
47%
Sports
31% 0% $-4
Other
12% 0% $-9
Crypto
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No -14 $-13 90¢ $-13 $-0 05-14 23:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes -16 $-11 68¢ $-11 $-0 05-11 22:32
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes +18 $11 58¢ $11 $-1 05-11 21:21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -7 $-6 82¢ $-6 $-0 05-14 23:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $-6 66¢ $-6 $-0 05-14 23:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 05-17 00:00
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees -16 $-4 34¢ $-5 $-1 05-17 00:52
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +6 $5 83¢ $5 $-0 05-14 23:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +17 $6 10¢ $2 $-4 05-08 11:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 26¢ $-2 $-1 05-14 23:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1 $-3 29¢ $-0 +$2 05-17 00:42
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +8 $6 $0 $-6 05-15 16:04