Realized P&L
+$219
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
91.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
959
lifetime
Volume
$4.57K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$80
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-26 02:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
48% 50% +$231
Other
32% 0% $-8
Crypto
20% 55% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -64 $-32 40¢ $-26 +$6 06-20 03:43
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +575 $38 $23 $-15 06-26 02:03
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -119 $-17 11¢ $-13 +$4 06-26 02:00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +645 $20 $9 $-11 06-26 02:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +172 $10 $6 $-4 06-26 01:59
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +11 $5 32¢ $4 $-1 06-20 02:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -286 $10 $-1 $-11 06-26 02:02