Realized P&L
+$219
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
91.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
960
lifetime
Volume
$4.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$164
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-18 01:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
47% 50% +$231
Other
34% 0% $-8
Crypto
19% 55% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -316 $-108 34¢ $-106 +$2 07-18 01:25
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +575 $38 $24 $-14 06-26 02:03
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -119 $-17 12¢ $-14 +$3 06-26 02:00
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +645 $20 $11 $-9 06-26 02:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +172 $10 $6 $-4 06-26 01:59
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes +11 $5 26¢ $3 $-2 06-20 02:54