Realized P&L
-$621
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved
236
Trades
433
lifetime
Volume
$6.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$25
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 10-24 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Politics
59% 81% -$2
Other
35% 62% -$623
Crypto
5% 57% -$2
Sports
1% 58% +$4
Tech
0% 91% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19 $10 63¢ $12 +$2 10-21 06:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-15 18:23
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +9 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 10-12 02:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 10-12 02:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 -$1 83¢ $-1 $0 05-30 16:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 10-12 02:25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 +$0 10-12 00:42
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 10-12 02:59
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-26 08:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2 $1 45¢ $1 $0 10-04 06:25
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-12 02:27
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $0 10-12 02:23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-12 02:23
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-12 02:26
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-09 23:10