Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$685

Unrealized P&L

-$58

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$4.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$463

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-05 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

58% 73% +$384

Politics

15% 100% +$162

Tech

11% 100% +$89

Crypto

9% 86% +$16

Sports

7% 46% +$48

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+200	$138	100¢	$199	+$61	06-20 18:15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+100	$57	97¢	$97	+$40	07-03 19:38
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+200	$72	30¢	$61	-$11	06-01 13:48
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	+50	$44	96¢	$48	+$4	04-30 21:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+30	$22	84¢	$25	+$3	06-01 10:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+30	$11	38¢	$11	+$1	05-22 10:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+50	$11	16¢	$8	-$3	06-26 18:35
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	+200	$148	4¢	$7	-$141	06-01 18:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+30	$7	16¢	$5	-$3	05-22 10:15
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+50	$12	3¢	$2	-$10	05-23 07:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 16:52:35	Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	98	21¢	$21	0x494f4d…
07-05 16:52:05	Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x9b0f66…
07-04 13:27:26	will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x8c1e12…
07-04 13:25:46	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xce15e3…
07-04 03:13:01	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x1b443a…
07-04 01:22:29	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xe233b1…
07-04 01:03:01	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x29eddd…
07-04 01:02:50	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xd5c532…
07-04 00:38:38	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xe7aa71…
07-04 00:11:16	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0x077249…
07-03 23:40:10	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xff78d1…
07-03 21:07:02	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x2ab004…
07-03 21:06:59	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	75	18¢	$14	0x847bce…
07-03 21:06:53	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	75	18¢	$14	0xfcc6a4…
07-03 21:06:53	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x99f355…
07-03 21:06:53	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8bbacf…
07-03 21:06:53	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7b2c1f…
07-03 21:06:53	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x5b6f31…
07-03 21:06:38	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x79760a…
07-03 21:04:01	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3e8012…
07-03 19:38:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xbbabc7…
07-03 18:07:43	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x818404…
07-03 17:39:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x83a1fe…
07-03 17:30:14	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x4012fc…
07-03 13:35:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$183	0xe416e0…
06-26 20:18:25	Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x698175…
06-26 18:35:44	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc335b4…
06-26 15:51:20	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x5fe659…
06-26 03:21:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$165	0xc08e38…
06-26 02:42:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x61c55a…
06-26 01:32:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xb30905…
06-25 23:43:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x1c07ef…
06-25 22:18:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xf12fc9…
06-25 21:36:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe60570…
06-25 21:32:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xeaff49…
06-25 21:24:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$35	0xa7053b…
06-24 20:20:34	Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x1f6ff2…
06-24 20:20:16	Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x0f6d73…
06-24 20:18:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xa03779…
06-22 10:30:10	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$45	0x9912b6…
06-22 10:29:32	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb01c12…
06-21 03:22:35	Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x9f6030…
06-21 03:09:20	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x098aa1…
06-20 21:19:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0x67c414…
06-20 21:17:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x277feb…
06-20 21:17:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x657f3d…
06-20 21:14:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	22¢	$27	0x332d6a…
06-20 21:09:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xe987fb…
06-20 18:15:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195	69¢	$135	0x1b2020…
06-20 16:18:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xb73d91…
06-20 13:32:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4111ef…
06-20 01:37:10	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	44	54¢	$24	0x427fa3…
06-20 01:37:07	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfe8d27…
06-20 01:37:04	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x276a25…
06-20 01:37:02	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	150	54¢	$81	0x457200…
06-20 01:37:01	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x11c875…
06-20 01:14:40	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x5b314a…
06-20 01:12:43	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x448d5e…
06-20 01:11:53	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0xfb3bf0…
06-20 00:09:40	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x1d679d…
06-19 23:30:47	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x9959b5…
06-19 20:41:41	Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5720a4…
06-19 20:27:58	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xca8217…
06-19 09:44:28	Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6bdfdc…
06-19 09:42:43	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x76eedb…
06-02 14:38:47	Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x48f2fb…
06-02 08:53:13	Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x7844c5…
06-02 08:42:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xbe394e…
06-02 06:49:39	Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x599a52…
06-02 04:45:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xb492af…
06-02 04:44:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0xc658cf…
06-02 03:34:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xea5e53…
06-02 02:56:12	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0x98b068…
06-02 01:18:31	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x6806cc…
06-02 01:05:58	Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xba85bc…
06-01 18:49:36	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x6a3898…
06-01 17:21:42	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.75B and $4.25B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xfcc049…
06-01 15:29:56	Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xcf5731…
06-01 14:41:03	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa30124…
06-01 13:51:40	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xe723ab…
06-01 13:51:40	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x179036…
06-01 13:48:31	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x388496…
06-01 13:09:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xdd2836…
06-01 12:29:48	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xced3c6…
06-01 11:35:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x1b57a1…
06-01 11:13:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0x1c8dc6…
06-01 10:48:16	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x8b44f3…
06-01 09:54:10	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xc8b8cc…
06-01 09:50:40	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x2822c3…
06-01 09:50:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x333b68…
06-01 08:57:23	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xdf5ad6…
06-01 08:55:43	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xd0f452…
06-01 08:47:00	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x05c9e5…
06-01 08:26:57	Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf602fd…
05-24 20:14:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0xf8e525…
05-23 07:51:23	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x5c892e…
05-22 22:34:13	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xbc946c…
05-22 15:43:35	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xf5daec…
05-22 13:34:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x873f74…
05-22 12:55:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xff3ef2…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$427	400	400	+0	No	+$9	07-03 13:35
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	2	$362	200	200	+0	Yes	+$38	06-22 10:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$334	200	200	+0	Yes	+$22	07-03 17:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-19 15:13
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$174	200	0	+200	Yes	+$26	06-01 09:54
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	1	$164	200	0	+200	Yes	+$36	05-22 12:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	4	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	06-24 20:18
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	1	$148	200	0	+200	open	—	06-01 18:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$138	200	0	+200	open	—	06-20 18:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$126	200	0	+200	Yes	+$74	06-20 16:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	5	$108	200	0	+200	Yes	+$92	06-20 01:37
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$88	100	0	+100	Yes	+$12	06-02 03:34
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$88	200	0	+200	Yes	+$112	05-24 20:14
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$87	50	50	+0	Yes	+$12	06-19 09:42
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	3	$84	50	50	+0	Yes	+$7	06-22 10:30
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	5	$81	100	0	+100	Yes	+$19	07-04 01:22
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	3	$78	100	0	+100	Yes	+$22	06-01 11:13
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	2	$72	50	50	+0	No	+$27	06-01 14:41
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	1	$72	200	0	+200	open	—	06-01 13:48
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	1	$72	200	0	+200	No	-$72	07-03 18:07
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 22?	1	$70	100	0	+100	Yes	+$30	05-22 10:13
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	1	$63	100	0	+100	No	-$63	07-04 13:25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 1?	1	$62	100	0	+100	Yes	+$38	06-01 11:35
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$57	100	0	+100	open	—	07-03 19:38
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$52	100	0	+100	No	-$52	07-04 03:13
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	1	$44	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 21:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?	1	$42	50	0	+50	Yes	+$8	05-07 15:33
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	1	$41	50	0	+50	Yes	+$9	06-21 03:22
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	1	$40	50	0	+50	No	+$10	06-26 01:32
will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	1	$40	100	0	+100	Yes	+$60	07-04 13:27