(anonymous) 0x6cf833…9f042f
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$335
Hit rate
40.4%
Resolved
132
Trades
657
lifetime
Volume
$11.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.55K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-31 19:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
48% 44% -$1,652
Politics
37% 52% +$292
Sports
15% 46% -$150
Crypto
0% 100% +$222
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +600 $206 50¢ $303 +$97 10-29 00:35
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +480 $151 42¢ $204 +$53 10-28 06:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +199 $142 80¢ $158 +$16 10-17 19:33
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $108 72¢ $145 +$37 10-18 00:42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +140 $111 94¢ $132 +$22 05-08 15:55
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +360 $117 29¢ $103 -$14 10-22 19:05
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -1,170 -$94 6¢ $-64 +$29 10-22 20:58
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +80 $49 78¢ $63 +$14 06-01 04:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +440 $54 14¢ $63 +$9 07-10 16:31
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $34 76¢ $60 +$26 05-19 15:04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +400 $46 12¢ $50 +$4 10-20 21:40
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $37 48¢ $48 +$10 09-06 11:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -50 -$42 84¢ $-42 +$0 10-17 15:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$26 16¢ $-32 -$6 06-29 21:49
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $18 31¢ $31 +$13 05-30 12:12
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +60 $12 38¢ $23 +$11 10-18 20:53
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -22 -$26 72¢ $-16 +$10 10-21 18:00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +60 $7 16¢ $9 +$3 05-08 21:44
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $4 2¢ $5 +$1 10-11 14:22
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +44 $4 8¢ $4 +$0 10-19 04:22