Dramatic-Reluctance 0x6d8fe8…228d48
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$798
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
32.7%
Resolved
59
Trades
915
lifetime
Volume
$49.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$55
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 07-20 10:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 55% $-437
Sports
20% 57% $-354
Politics
2% 0% $-1
Other
2% 50% $-5
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +30 $29 96¢ $29 +$0 07-16 03:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -15 $-11 72¢ $-11 +$0 07-16 20:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 07-16 03:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3 $0 94¢ $3 +$2 07-11 02:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -41 $-2 4¢ $-2 +$1 06-18 09:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6 $3 28¢ $2 $-1 07-16 17:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 07-10 05:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +37 $2 1¢ $0 $-1 07-12 09:36