Dramatic-Reluctance 0x6d8fe8…228d48
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$798
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
32.7%
Resolved
59
Trades
833
lifetime
Volume
$48.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$159
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 06-09 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Crypto
78% 55% $-437
Sports
20% 57% $-354
Politics
1% 0% $-1
Other
1% 50% $-5
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +46 $39 86¢ $40 +$1 06-03 20:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +40 $37 94¢ $38 +$0 06-09 10:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +40 $33 82¢ $33 +$0 05-31 00:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +23 $17 84¢ $19 +$2 06-01 06:29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +13 $12 93¢ $12 $-0 06-09 13:31
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-04 08:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +15 $4 32¢ $5 +$1 06-01 00:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +15 $3 20¢ $3 $-0 06-02 15:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +20 $3 14¢ $3 $-0 05-29 00:00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +5 $4 36¢ $2 $-2 05-28 18:02