Realized P&L
-$3.11K
Unrealized P&L
-$669
Hit rate
44.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,891
lifetime
Volume
$448.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$237
Open exposure
$14.9K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-25 04:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
49% 100% +$80
Politics
43% 25% $-3,194
Crypto
6%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1,770 $-1,540 92¢ $-1620 $-80 06-12 05:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,540 $-1,324 94¢ $-1440 $-116 06-06 10:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,500 $-1,200 86¢ $-1290 $-90 06-08 17:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,040 $-1,222 60¢ $-1214 +$8 06-10 09:38
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -1,338 $-1,110 87¢ $-1164 $-54 06-25 04:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1,260 $-1,084 90¢ $-1128 $-44 06-08 02:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1,200 $-984 86¢ $-1038 $-54 06-08 04:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,027 $-966 95¢ $-972 $-6 06-18 09:29
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -1,390 $-848 66¢ $-924 $-76 06-11 20:44
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -920 $-779 96¢ $-879 $-99 06-13 16:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -1,000 $-840 86¢ $-865 $-25 06-18 09:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -570 $-532 96¢ $-549 $-17 06-11 05:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No -590 $-525 92¢ $-540 $-15 06-18 09:29
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -542 $-493 92¢ $-502 $-8 06-16 13:31
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -400 $-370 94¢ $-378 $-8 06-10 15:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -400 $-368 88¢ $-354 +$14 06-23 19:05
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -79 $-75 96¢ $-76 $-1 06-10 09:37