Realized P&L
-$16.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.80K
Hit rate
80.6%
Resolved
259
Trades
1,976
lifetime
Volume
$489.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$248
Open exposure
$17.5K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-25 04:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
48%
89%
+$439
Politics
44%
65%
-$18,181
Crypto
5%
100%
+$797
Sports
1%
100%
+$229
Tech
1%
100%
+$68
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -2,040 | -$1,222 | 97¢ | $-1980 | -$758 | 06-10 09:38 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | -1,770 | -$1,540 | 98¢ | $-1737 | -$197 | 06-12 05:56 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -1,540 | -$1,324 | 98¢ | $-1506 | -$182 | 06-06 10:51 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,500 | -$1,200 | 98¢ | $-1472 | -$272 | 06-08 17:05 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | -1,390 | -$848 | 99¢ | $-1380 | -$532 | 06-11 20:44 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,338 | -$1,110 | 97¢ | $-1301 | -$191 | 06-25 04:28 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | -1,260 | -$1,084 | 97¢ | $-1219 | -$135 | 06-08 02:52 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | -1,200 | -$839 | 91¢ | $-1088 | -$249 | 06-08 20:15 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | -1,100 | -$1,035 | 98¢ | $-1082 | -$47 | 06-18 09:29 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -1,200 | -$984 | 90¢ | $-1074 | -$90 | 06-08 04:08 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | -2,700 | -$913 | 37¢ | $-987 | -$74 | 06-11 05:37 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | -590 | -$525 | 97¢ | $-572 | -$47 | 06-18 09:29 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | -570 | -$532 | 98¢ | $-561 | -$28 | 06-11 05:38 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | -570 | -$519 | 97¢ | $-555 | -$36 | 06-16 13:31 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | -400 | -$368 | 98¢ | $-393 | -$25 | 06-23 19:05 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | -400 | -$370 | 98¢ | $-393 | -$23 | 06-10 15:12 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | -1,041 | -$164 | 8¢ | $-78 | +$86 | 06-10 09:38 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | -79 | -$75 | 98¢ | $-77 | -$2 | 06-10 09:37 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 9 | $10.3K | 5,220 | 5,220 | +0 | No | +$110 | 01-30 01:30 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | 21 | $8.1K | 4,170 | 4,170 | +0 | No | +$108 | 02-25 14:34 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | 10 | $7.9K | 3,991 | 3,991 | +0 | No | +$60 | 01-28 10:28 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | 7 | $7.4K | 4,650 | 3,138 | +1,512 | No | +$169 | 03-09 21:54 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 34 | $6.3K | 4,050 | 2,550 | +1,500 | Yes | -$1 | 02-26 10:57 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 20 | $6.1K | 4,230 | 2,100 | +2,130 | No | +$192 | 02-01 16:40 |
| will gta 6 cost 100 | 37 | $5.9K | 4,000 | 2,000 | +2,000 | No | +$18 | 02-23 11:30 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | 10 | $5.9K | 4,098 | 2,049 | +2,049 | No | +$219 | 01-31 08:13 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 14 | $5.8K | 4,190 | 1,835 | +2,355 | No | +$184 | 02-24 14:56 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 17 | $5.5K | 4,722 | 1,700 | +3,022 | Yes | -$2,518 | 02-03 12:11 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | 56 | $5.4K | 5,593 | 1,838 | +3,755 | No | +$921 | 02-03 23:26 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026 | 49 | $5.1K | 2,620 | 2,620 | +0 | No | +$114 | 02-25 13:18 |
| ilhan omar town hall attack staged | 28 | $5.0K | 3,570 | 1,582 | +1,988 | No | +$70 | 02-25 20:26 |
| will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election | 17 | $5.0K | 2,520 | 2,520 | +0 | Yes | +$13 | 02-08 10:23 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | 48 | $4.9K | 2,459 | 2,458 | +0 | Yes | +$24 | 02-12 19:10 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | 8 | $4.1K | 2,130 | 2,130 | +0 | Yes | +$121 | 06-09 10:13 |
| will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793 | 64 | $4.1K | 2,100 | 2,100 | +0 | No | +$95 | 02-25 14:06 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 8 | $4.1K | 4,232 | 0 | +4,232 | No | +$149 | 01-15 06:33 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | 9 | $4.0K | 4,164 | 0 | +4,164 | No | +$119 | 01-16 16:24 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026 | 20 | $4.0K | 2,050 | 2,050 | +0 | No | +$49 | 02-25 11:12 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 2 | $4.0K | 4,385 | 0 | +4,385 | Yes | +$364 | 01-15 06:23 |
| will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026 | 6 | $4.0K | 4,160 | 0 | +4,160 | No | +$170 | 01-15 06:25 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 2 | $4.0K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | No | -$6 | 04-03 03:50 |
| will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026 | 53 | $3.9K | 3,430 | 1,330 | +2,100 | Yes | +$8 | 02-22 10:19 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 16 | $3.9K | 3,200 | 2,360 | +840 | Yes | -$332 | 01-29 16:00 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | 8 | $3.8K | 0 | 3,920 | -3,920 | Yes | -$74 | 06-06 08:40 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 2 | $3.8K | 2,200 | 2,200 | +0 | No | +$447 | 06-06 07:08 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 4 | $3.7K | 6,730 | 0 | +6,730 | No | -$1,024 | 03-21 14:51 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | 2 | $3.7K | 1,900 | 1,900 | +0 | No | +$34 | 06-06 11:02 |
| will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31 | 16 | $3.7K | 3,020 | 3,020 | +0 | No | +$609 | 03-09 19:31 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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