Barren-Endorsement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,891

lifetime

Volume

$448.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-25 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$80

Politics

43% 25% $-3,194

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	9	$10.3K	5,220	5,220	+0	open	—	01-30 01:30
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	21	$8.1K	4,170	4,170	+0	open	—	02-25 14:34
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	10	$7.9K	3,991	3,991	+0	open	—	01-28 10:28
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	7	$7.4K	4,650	3,138	+1,512	open	—	03-09 21:54
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	34	$6.3K	4,050	2,550	+1,500	open	—	02-26 10:57
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	20	$6.1K	4,230	2,100	+2,130	open	—	02-01 16:40
will gta 6 cost 100	37	$5.9K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	open	—	02-23 11:30
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	10	$5.9K	4,098	2,049	+2,049	open	—	01-31 08:13
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	14	$5.8K	4,190	1,835	+2,355	open	—	02-24 14:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$5.5K	4,722	1,700	+3,022	open	—	02-03 12:11
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	56	$5.4K	5,593	1,838	+3,755	open	—	02-03 23:26
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	49	$5.1K	2,620	2,620	+0	open	—	02-25 13:18
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	28	$5.0K	3,570	1,582	+1,988	open	—	02-25 20:26
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	17	$5.0K	2,520	2,520	+0	open	—	02-08 10:23
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	48	$4.9K	2,459	2,458	+0	open	—	02-12 19:10
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	64	$4.1K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	02-25 14:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	8	$4.1K	4,232	0	+4,232	open	—	01-15 06:33
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	9	$4.0K	4,164	0	+4,164	open	—	01-16 16:24
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	20	$4.0K	2,050	2,050	+0	open	—	02-25 11:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$4.0K	4,385	0	+4,385	open	—	01-15 06:23
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	6	$4.0K	4,160	0	+4,160	open	—	01-15 06:25
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-03 03:50
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	53	$3.9K	3,430	1,330	+2,100	open	—	02-22 10:19
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$3.9K	3,200	2,360	+840	open	—	01-29 16:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$3.7K	6,730	0	+6,730	open	—	03-21 14:51
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	16	$3.7K	3,020	3,020	+0	open	—	03-09 19:31
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$3.5K	3,199	3,199	+0	open	—	01-14 10:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	11	$3.3K	3,932	1,000	+2,932	open	—	04-13 17:42
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	13	$3.2K	3,268	0	+3,268	open	—	01-15 06:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	12	$3.1K	0	3,560	-3,560	open	—	06-06 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 04:28:32	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,338	83¢	$1,110	0x11edc8…
06-23 19:05:28	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0x2d31f0…
06-18 09:29:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0a5581…
06-18 09:29:28	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	590	89¢	$525	0x975279…
06-18 09:28:46	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1,000	84¢	$840	0xc1e598…
06-17 13:00:44	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0xd9514b…
06-16 13:31:19	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xf489c9…
06-16 10:27:01	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0x786eaa…
06-16 06:51:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x00205b…
06-16 02:54:52	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	77	91¢	$70	0xda7371…
06-16 02:23:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0x6c174b…
06-15 10:52:30	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	180	91¢	$164	0xcbc42b…
06-15 06:49:19	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x35cc68…
06-15 05:34:33	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x462a4d…
06-15 05:28:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	143	91¢	$130	0xfbe721…
06-15 03:54:07	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x0b6a7d…
06-15 03:30:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x842f58…
06-15 02:55:36	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x76ef05…
06-14 21:40:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	800	90¢	$720	0xc57baf…
06-14 04:38:13	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5422d2…
06-14 02:24:06	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x37460b…
06-14 00:52:58	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xdb85f3…
06-14 00:35:31	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	563	99¢	$559	0xb89668…
06-13 16:56:12	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	920	85¢	$779	0xd85d9a…
06-12 09:57:00	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$216	0xc830ef…
06-12 05:56:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x0410cd…
06-12 02:30:57	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xaca008…
06-12 01:40:15	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x526e51…
06-12 00:58:22	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1,728	87¢	$1,504	0x16a872…
06-11 20:44:43	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	474	61¢	$289	0x9d2480…
06-11 19:47:54	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xd6e27f…
06-11 12:57:15	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x8f9b0d…
06-11 08:35:37	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x10e76a…
06-11 06:38:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,220	16¢	$195	0x0f3000…
06-11 06:33:33	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x828019…
06-11 06:06:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0xb89b1d…
06-11 06:04:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	16¢	$2	0x4f4c3c…
06-11 05:57:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	16¢	$64	0xca0519…
06-11 05:48:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x8b22c9…
06-11 05:42:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0x65e2b6…
06-11 05:39:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0xda94a8…
06-11 05:38:25	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	516	100¢	$513	0xef2f70…
06-11 05:38:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	570	93¢	$532	0x0f1bc9…
06-10 23:32:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	388	99¢	$385	0xb9616c…
06-10 19:12:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xccb630…
06-10 19:07:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x823d12…
06-10 19:06:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xbc1ab2…
06-10 19:06:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x8f1afa…
06-10 19:05:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0xf96402…
06-10 19:05:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x381230…
06-10 19:03:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7288cb…
06-10 19:01:45	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x90439b…
06-10 18:55:36	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6cfe4a…
06-10 18:55:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x325e1b…
06-10 18:52:00	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcca4d2…
06-10 18:51:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x36e2fe…
06-10 18:46:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf11853…
06-10 18:44:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1e6e06…
06-10 18:42:03	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xbb8f62…
06-10 18:41:10	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x59b8ec…
06-10 18:40:48	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xecee51…
06-10 18:40:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xeb655e…
06-10 18:38:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd9fab4…
06-10 18:37:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x89a58e…
06-10 18:35:39	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb0ae1f…
06-10 18:34:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xa79a9e…
06-10 18:31:39	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xdfdca1…
06-10 18:30:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd6a3b6…
06-10 18:28:30	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5f3e50…
06-10 18:23:33	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x33f974…
06-10 18:19:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x4e2c05…
06-10 18:17:00	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x6281be…
06-10 18:16:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x55d288…
06-10 18:14:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xba176d…
06-10 18:12:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf0c324…
06-10 18:12:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x27c375…
06-10 18:11:45	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x801c07…
06-10 18:11:00	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x0308a6…
06-10 18:10:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x54823c…
06-10 18:10:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcafd74…
06-10 18:06:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc2b685…
06-10 18:05:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8c81f1…
06-10 18:05:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x481de2…
06-10 18:02:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7af228…
06-10 18:01:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xbd21e1…
06-10 17:59:36	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x678105…
06-10 17:59:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x838ed2…
06-10 17:58:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x18c4ec…
06-10 17:54:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xde3f5f…
06-10 17:47:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x7399c5…
06-10 17:47:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x43a086…
06-10 17:47:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x302fc1…
06-10 17:46:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7b0833…
06-10 17:44:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xdc4571…
06-10 17:37:39	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x5965c3…
06-10 17:37:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcb0242…
06-10 17:35:18	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xe1426f…
06-10 17:34:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb2beee…
06-10 17:34:57	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xb7d4ce…
06-10 17:34:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd2571c…