Animated-Suitcase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$38

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

9 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 0% $-0

Other

27% 100% +$0

Crypto

16% 100% +$9

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	-7	$-7	98¢	$-7	+$0	05-11 16:43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	GamerLegion	+18	$4	26¢	$5	+$1	05-12 22:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	+4	$4	98¢	$4	+$1	05-10 03:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	+3	$2	84¢	$3	+$0	05-10 19:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+4	$2	66¢	$2	+$0	05-10 23:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	+2	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	05-07 03:23
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	-1	$-1	100¢	$-1	$-0	05-10 02:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	-1	$-1	88¢	$-1	+$0	05-07 11:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	-8	$-2	6¢	$-0	+$1	05-07 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 22:12:44	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x5e6f6e…
05-12 16:26:17	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BC.Game Esports	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x7b4e8d…
05-12 07:11:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x91441a…
05-11 23:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x9933ee…
05-11 16:43:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x64be79…
05-10 23:56:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x252bb8…
05-10 19:54:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4a06ba…
05-10 03:46:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x0bbc6e…
05-10 02:36:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x55da88…
05-10 02:36:56	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x385256…
05-08 13:14:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xa11b0e…
05-07 22:04:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x48ff20…
05-07 15:31:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x840f07…
05-07 11:56:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2d8ccd…
05-07 11:56:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8a5a6a…
05-07 11:25:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xf46311…
05-07 03:23:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x130a39…
05-06 18:25:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x845bae…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$5.48K	44	05-12 16:57
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	7	$114.9K	11	05-12 21:38
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	6	$34.3K	145	05-12 11:12
Well-Documented-Pier 0x09a5…caaa	6	$15.8K	17	05-09 12:34
Skinny-Class 0xfc2f…10c7	6	$12.3K	14	05-11 16:28
Super-Manager 0xa20a…d92d	6	$7.47K	10	05-12 01:12
Velvety-Rutabaga 0x9ddf…2c83	6	$2.49K	21	05-12 22:12
Clear-Cut-Gravel 0xb242…eb89	6	$1.18K	14	05-10 20:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$9	1	8	-7	open	—	05-11 16:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	1	$4	23	0	+23	open	—	05-12 07:11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	1	$4	18	0	+18	open	—	05-12 22:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-10 03:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-10 23:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-10 19:54
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$2	0	6	-6	open	—	05-11 23:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$2	0	8	-8	open	—	05-07 11:25
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$1	0	34	-34	open	—	05-12 16:26
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-10 02:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	1	$1	0	2	-2	Yes	+$1	05-08 13:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-07 03:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$-0	05-07 22:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-07 11:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	+$7	05-07 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-07 15:31