Realized P&L
+$808
Unrealized P&L
-$209
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
988
Trades
2,017
lifetime
Volume
$46.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 10-28 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
76% 64% +$820
Crypto
9% 88% +$336
Politics
8% 56% -$252
Sports
6% 54% -$101
Tech
1% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +750 $652 53¢ $401 -$251 10-08 19:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +250 $238 98¢ $244 +$7 09-03 01:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +250 $235 97¢ $242 +$7 09-02 14:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 96¢ $192 +$10 09-02 14:41
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +200 $177 88¢ $177 +$0 10-13 16:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +200 $172 86¢ $172 +$0 09-10 20:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $267 42¢ $166 -$101 10-06 19:10
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +220 $186 72¢ $160 -$27 09-13 21:28
will wti reach 110 in october 2026 No +160 $117 94¢ $150 +$34 10-15 00:24
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +150 $123 100¢ $149 +$27 09-07 15:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +150 $133 92¢ $139 +$6 09-03 21:03
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +100 $41 100¢ $100 +$59 09-15 17:18
will wti dip to 70 in october 2026 No +100 $85 100¢ $100 +$15 09-29 18:52
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +100 $94 100¢ $100 +$6 08-31 15:38
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +100 $88 100¢ $100 +$12 08-31 18:35
will wti reach 115 in october 2026 No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 10-15 01:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 98¢ $98 +$5 08-21 21:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $84 94¢ $94 +$10 09-02 20:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 08-23 12:19
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +100 $91 90¢ $90 $0 10-07 20:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $76 90¢ $90 +$14 09-02 13:56
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $83 88¢ $88 +$4 09-10 14:33
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $159 25¢ $76 -$83 10-01 20:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +220 $52 28¢ $61 +$9 10-26 17:49
will wti dip to 75 in october 2026 No +50 $36 100¢ $50 +$13 09-29 18:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$4 08-25 08:09
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +50 $48 97¢ $49 +$1 08-17 15:26
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +50 $37 91¢ $46 +$8 09-14 19:06
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +50 $47 90¢ $45 -$2 08-17 15:25
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +50 $46 88¢ $44 -$1 08-17 15:23