Realized P&L (90d)
-$85
Unrealized P&L
-$84
Hit rate
31.8%
Resolved (90d)
10
Trades (90d)
17
130 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$288
$2.48K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$682
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 10-20 22:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Sports
35% 6% -$33
Politics
34% 29% -$61
Other
30% 30% -$89
Tech
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +385 $163 66¢ $252 +$89 08-11 16:26
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +238 $200 92¢ $220 +$20 06-29 18:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,111 $200 8¢ $94 -$106 06-29 18:39
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,342 $11 2¢ $26 +$15 08-11 16:30
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +290 $38 7¢ $19 -$19 06-27 11:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +162 $68 10¢ $15 -$53 06-29 18:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +70 $14 22¢ $15 +$1 07-20 16:44
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +13 $8 76¢ $10 +$1 07-07 18:08
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +30 $10 31¢ $9 -$1 06-23 06:07
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,767 $17 0¢ $7 -$10 08-11 16:42
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,122 $17 0¢ $6 -$11 08-11 16:30
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +990 $7 0¢ $2 -$4 08-19 04:36
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +58 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 07-21 07:09
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +57 $13 4¢ $2 -$11 06-28 06:27
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +0 -$1 6¢ $0 +$1 08-11 14:09