Jolly-Might — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-07 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

42% 51% $-40

Sports

41% 61% +$59

Politics

9% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	6	$37	125	17	+109	open	—	05-31 22:25
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	5	$32	29	17	+12	open	—	05-16 03:35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	5	$25	32	11	+21	open	—	05-17 03:40
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5	4	$24	47	0	+47	Over	+$2	05-12 02:47
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	5	$23	24	12	+12	open	—	05-17 03:25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	5	$23	23	11	+12	open	—	05-15 21:29
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	4	$21	43	0	+43	Seattle Mariners	$-3	05-13 00:10
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox	4	$21	23	9	+14	open	—	05-15 02:10
Kash Patel out by May 31?	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-30 22:33
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	4	$21	54	0	+54	Spurs	$-5	05-13 00:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$20	80	0	+80	open	—	05-20 05:36
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$18	72	0	+72	Thunder	$-4	05-12 03:38
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	3	$18	35	0	+35	Lakers	+$6	05-12 02:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-22 22:30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	3	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 00:40
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	4	$17	38	0	+38	open	—	05-15 02:10
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner	2	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 11:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$16	0	37	-37	open	—	06-07 16:02
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	3	$16	17	7	+10	open	—	05-16 02:10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 03:18
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	4	$15	29	0	+29	Spurs	+$3	05-13 00:08
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	3	$15	25	0	+25	Cavaliers	+$10	05-12 00:03
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-28 16:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$14	36	0	+36	open	—	05-18 10:54
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-15 06:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 08:01
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	2	$12	21	0	+21	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$9	05-12 01:11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko	2	$12	20	0	+20	Sorana Cirstea	+$8	05-12 11:12
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	05-14 09:58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	2	$12	17	0	+17	Dplus KIA	$-12	05-12 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 16:03:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x764826…
06-07 16:02:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x45d45b…
06-07 16:02:25	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x2349cc…
06-07 16:02:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0xf09b98…
06-07 16:01:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	136	3¢	$4	0x54de33…
06-07 16:01:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0x7599a7…
06-07 16:01:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0x6d7067…
06-07 16:01:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	7¢	$6	0x3d7aea…
06-07 16:00:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x1e0a68…
06-07 16:00:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xcc79de…
06-07 16:00:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x858453…
06-07 16:00:22	ebola pandemic in 2026	Yes	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x9106c9…
06-07 16:00:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0xdb6c86…
06-07 16:00:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x2cced5…
06-07 01:07:31	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xee5949…
05-31 22:25:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd31cf1…
05-31 02:39:29	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x243646…
05-30 22:33:57	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9ae109…
05-30 22:30:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0x7e7848…
05-30 22:30:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x62ad4b…
05-30 22:30:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x374ed4…
05-28 16:40:16	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xef84e7…
05-23 10:19:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x1f476d…
05-22 22:30:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa1334c…
05-21 09:21:06	Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vexa - Map 1 Winner	largadosypelados	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4aa088…
05-21 09:20:47	Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Vexa - Map 2 Winner	largadosypelados	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x34e4b6…
05-21 06:56:49	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winner	Lynn Vision	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcd05fe…
05-21 06:56:49	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winner	Lynn Vision	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb92e10…
05-20 06:03:36	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbbba1b…
05-20 06:02:41	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfc6542…
05-20 05:54:38	Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs R2 Esports Club - Map 1 Winner	MIBR Academy	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbdd6bc…
05-20 05:36:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf46eaa…
05-20 05:09:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbb2243…
05-20 05:05:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x89795f…
05-20 05:02:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7f196a…
05-20 04:45:48	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x580838…
05-20 04:28:15	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x706841…
05-19 23:52:39	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x34b216…
05-19 23:52:16	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xaccd27…
05-19 23:46:05	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xcb1d55…
05-19 23:46:05	Trump kiss by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x3f365b…
05-19 22:36:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaeb0b5…
05-19 05:45:52	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbec58a…
05-19 05:40:46	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbbbeee…
05-19 05:34:11	Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner	ASTRAL	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x49ee0d…
05-19 05:34:09	Map Handicap: ex-KRÜ Esports (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)	paiN Academy	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x867506…
05-19 05:34:09	Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner	ASTRAL	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x49a8aa…
05-19 05:31:14	Will Jason Steele be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d4c1c…
05-19 05:29:57	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa9469d…
05-19 05:29:03	Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Dynasty (+1.5)	Frites Esports Club	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x41bf62…
05-19 05:24:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6f53a4…
05-19 05:10:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8bc4c6…
05-19 05:10:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd5387a…
05-19 05:02:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xaf0098…
05-19 05:02:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x78c355…
05-19 05:02:16	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6539f3…
05-19 01:59:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x31b1da…
05-19 01:57:53	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x023059…
05-19 01:33:19	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x2323c9…
05-19 01:21:44	Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner	Eternal Fire	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x647874…
05-19 00:23:52	Will "Left" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9cb905…
05-18 10:54:54	Bengaluru 3: Maximus Jones vs Sasikumar Mukund	Maximus Jones	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7bc110…
05-18 10:54:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x3deb42…
05-18 10:54:54	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x26e4d5…
05-18 10:54:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x891f98…
05-18 10:54:53	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x7a0195…
05-18 10:54:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x558663…
05-18 10:53:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xa1c275…
05-18 09:49:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3ca17c…
05-18 09:48:10	Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	DN SOOPers	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbd532c…
05-18 09:37:19	Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	DN SOOPers	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb6e53c…
05-18 09:35:31	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xea0a72…
05-18 09:28:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3ee101…
05-18 09:21:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x36b05c…
05-18 09:17:19	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x51d08c…
05-18 09:12:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe8991e…
05-18 09:04:32	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfc7421…
05-18 08:51:48	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs ex-KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winner	Yawara Esports	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x02f52e…
05-18 08:41:21	LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winner	LUA Gaming	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe760eb…
05-18 07:16:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x1ee1ad…
05-18 01:31:03	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x04fe26…
05-18 01:28:19	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xe00d4e…
05-18 01:28:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x31f19a…
05-17 03:40:24	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x94264c…
05-17 03:25:03	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x80e8fe…
05-17 02:57:24	San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xbcc4c3…
05-17 02:10:14	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xae718c…
05-17 02:10:09	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffs	Lynn Vision	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8ae115…
05-17 02:00:16	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x34ccf6…
05-17 01:59:29	Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1c9e96…
05-17 01:59:11	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbea355…
05-17 01:51:19	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xa245f5…
05-17 01:50:03	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4e6237…
05-17 01:49:32	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf377f9…
05-17 01:47:40	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf5745e…
05-17 01:47:40	San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1e8df7…
05-17 01:45:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa755da…
05-17 01:44:20	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf52917…
05-17 01:37:34	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x509760…
05-17 01:35:48	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x1e9790…