Blissful-Ash 0x85dc68…658d9e
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Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
50.6%
Resolved
231
Trades
352
lifetime
Volume
$358
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$28
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-22 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Sports
38% 55% +$2
Other
36% 43% -$26
Politics
18% 45% -$7
Crypto
7% 29% -$3
Tech
1% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-4 $0 09-30 02:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4 -$4 99¢ $-4 $0 09-23 04:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 $0 09-23 04:35
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +6 -$1 32¢ $2 +$3 10-16 06:43
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4 $2 42¢ $2 $0 10-06 18:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 05-24 05:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 09-30 02:06
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-31 06:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-23 04:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-15 08:04
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 10-22 06:44
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 10-18 05:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-16 03:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 57¢ $1 $0 10-22 06:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-09 06:50
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $0 10-18 05:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 88¢ $-1 $0 06-24 02:38
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 94¢ $1 +$0 10-21 02:46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $0 82¢ $0 +$0 08-16 09:24
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $0 11¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 04:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 +$0 08-12 03:05
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 04:09
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -1 $0 8¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 18:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $0 82¢ $-0 +$0 09-30 02:20