Blissful-Ash 0x85dc68…658d9e Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved
237
Trades
359
lifetime
Volume
$365
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$28
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-03 23:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Sports
38% 55% +$2
Other
36% 43% -$28
Politics
19% 44% -$8
Crypto
8% 29% -$3
Tech
1% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -5 -$4 95¢ $-4 $0 09-30 02:05
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4 $2 98¢ $4 +$2 10-06 18:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4 -$4 98¢ $-4 $0 09-23 04:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 09-23 04:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-24 05:38
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 11-01 05:00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-18 05:06
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-23 04:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-15 08:04
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 11-03 23:26
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 10-22 06:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 78¢ $1 $0 10-16 03:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 10-22 06:42
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-18 05:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 86¢ $-1 $0 06-24 02:38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $0 83¢ $0 +$0 08-16 09:24
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1 -$4 34¢ $0 +$4 11-03 13:47
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $0 8¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 04:09
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -1 $0 8¢ $-0 +$0 10-15 18:13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-04 04:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -0 $0 88¢ $-0 $0 09-30 02:20