Doting-Exhaustion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

23.9%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-13 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% 50% $-0

Sports

32% 0% $-1

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+51	$50	98¢	$50	+$0	06-13 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	12	$1.2K	633	633	+0	Yes	$-1	03-26 03:56
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$944	491	491	+0	No	$-0	04-13 12:31
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$824	422	422	-0	No	+$0	03-11 01:43
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$790	416	416	+0	open	—	03-22 00:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$777	402	402	+0	open	—	03-22 14:25
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$736	389	389	+0	open	—	03-30 12:07
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$710	364	364	+0	open	—	04-25 00:47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$484	252	252	+0	No	$-1	03-30 22:06
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$414	213	213	+0	open	—	03-13 08:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$413	211	211	+0	open	—	03-12 19:00
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$403	211	211	+0	open	—	03-18 03:57
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$402	205	205	+0	open	—	03-12 07:28
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$399	204	204	+0	open	—	03-15 02:28
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	03-16 13:22
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$391	202	202	+0	open	—	03-24 20:45
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$389	202	202	+0	open	—	03-18 22:20
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$387	198	198	+0	open	—	03-21 15:21
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$380	194	194	+0	open	—	03-20 14:29
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$373	193	193	+0	open	—	03-27 16:44
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$367	196	196	+0	open	—	03-25 15:35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$350	182	182	+0	open	—	04-27 10:52
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$138	72	72	+0	open	—	04-10 19:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$131	69	69	+0	open	—	06-04 09:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$130	67	67	+0	open	—	03-31 13:17
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	2	$130	67	67	+0	open	—	06-12 21:51
will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	2	$125	64	64	+0	open	—	06-06 21:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$118	61	61	+0	open	—	05-22 12:32
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$116	62	62	+0	open	—	04-09 05:00
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	06-11 15:20
will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	2	$110	57	57	+0	open	—	06-13 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 12:24:01	Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x871655…
06-13 11:08:54	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	SELL	57	98¢	$55	0x0471b3…
06-13 06:07:34	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	No	BUY	57	98¢	$55	0x427972…
06-13 05:30:55	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0xf17247…
06-12 22:27:36	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$48	0x69c4ca…
06-12 21:51:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x95206b…
06-12 15:47:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x9806dc…
06-12 07:33:45	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	SELL	46	88¢	$40	0x54d3b1…
06-11 23:28:24	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x650f33…
06-11 15:20:00	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xc53c73…
06-11 07:18:10	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x9c7e46…
06-11 02:00:52	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x06c467…
06-10 21:24:34	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xfee796…
06-10 20:58:54	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9044c6…
06-06 21:55:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xdae807…
06-06 14:49:46	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xd07e32…
06-05 11:45:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x2ab70a…
06-05 07:51:19	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7e06fe…
06-05 07:38:58	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8fcdf3…
06-04 22:26:16	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	SELL	55	87¢	$48	0x11afd8…
06-04 15:22:00	will uruguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149738	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xa98b59…
06-04 09:00:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x2ed2c2…
06-04 04:59:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0xdf0e52…
06-03 03:48:34	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x48b3c6…
06-02 20:47:41	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x665c21…
05-22 12:32:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$59	0xea060f…
05-22 04:31:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$60	0xf3b944…
05-22 03:57:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x9b0f80…
05-21 19:52:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xccdcac…
04-28 02:19:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$51	0xcd29a5…
04-27 23:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x9c84bc…
04-27 22:42:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xdc1984…
04-27 10:52:02	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	182	96¢	$175	0x4c9d9b…
04-27 04:15:16	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x07b6d2…
04-27 04:07:46	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x2a361b…
04-27 04:02:10	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$71	0xe1556f…
04-27 03:44:34	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x656610…
04-25 00:47:58	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$175	0xfdfae8…
04-24 17:35:30	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	180	97¢	$175	0x4a8ba1…
04-21 04:10:48	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x1f3e07…
04-20 19:29:40	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$43	0x922260…
04-20 17:17:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	45	90¢	$40	0x15123d…
04-20 13:05:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x450cdb…
04-16 03:32:54	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0xf1f5ec…
04-15 21:04:06	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	93¢	$44	0x9c3d6f…
04-13 12:31:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0x404013…
04-13 04:18:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xf32a9d…
04-10 19:12:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	72	97¢	$69	0x190978…
04-10 09:09:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xb4c281…
04-09 05:00:53	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0xa7e04c…
04-08 21:52:55	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0xa6e0d2…
04-08 11:52:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x5f869c…
04-08 04:08:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x6ef310…
03-31 13:17:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0xa094d7…
03-31 07:34:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	98¢	$65	0x6a89e8…
03-30 22:06:39	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$55	0xfd921a…
03-30 12:27:54	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$55	0x990305…
03-30 12:07:18	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	195	94¢	$184	0x5dc155…
03-30 10:55:40	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0xde2b80…
03-30 10:46:12	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x384585…
03-30 10:34:48	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x5358ef…
03-30 10:23:34	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xcd2b84…
03-30 07:14:14	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x84150f…
03-29 01:47:40	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	97¢	$180	0xa7c6f1…
03-28 17:38:27	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0x635205…
03-28 02:05:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	188	97¢	$182	0x7ff2ad…
03-27 18:06:45	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	188	97¢	$182	0x9a5fa3…
03-27 16:44:17	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	193	96¢	$186	0x48e8ff…
03-27 10:27:01	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x45852a…
03-27 10:26:41	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	137	97¢	$133	0x42cb0b…
03-27 10:25:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x979b25…
03-27 00:08:41	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	195	96¢	$186	0x039418…
03-26 19:28:13	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xb6c5c0…
03-26 19:21:37	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	178	96¢	$171	0xad1a54…
03-26 03:56:53	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	195	95¢	$185	0xa4e2e0…
03-25 23:50:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8b309a…
03-25 23:45:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	149	95¢	$141	0x96542b…
03-25 23:30:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xb878a8…
03-25 23:30:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x2de921…
03-25 22:47:17	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	194	94¢	$183	0x9af6a1…
03-25 17:30:53	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	194	95¢	$184	0xc0dfc7…
03-25 15:35:15	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	196	94¢	$183	0x89d080…
03-25 06:50:23	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	196	94¢	$184	0x6ccb2c…
03-24 20:45:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	202	96¢	$195	0x956a6c…
03-24 12:38:57	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	202	97¢	$196	0xc807ea…
03-24 11:17:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	193	97¢	$187	0xd5a538…
03-24 04:50:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	193	97¢	$187	0xf78df3…
03-24 01:47:55	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xe420f8…
03-23 19:37:29	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbf7648…
03-22 14:25:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	198	96¢	$191	0x4670c9…
03-22 07:37:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	198	96¢	$191	0xff6c00…
03-22 00:09:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	204	93¢	$190	0xea9d2e…
03-21 16:42:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	204	97¢	$198	0xb418e7…
03-21 15:21:09	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	198	98¢	$193	0x399c9e…
03-21 05:40:49	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	198	98¢	$194	0x93efb8…
03-21 03:15:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	204	97¢	$198	0xb89df1…
03-20 22:08:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0x5db44e…
03-20 22:06:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0x92639f…
03-20 22:04:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	97¢	$73	0x2bc0ab…
03-20 21:41:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	212	95¢	$203	0x9521f6…