Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved
24
Trades
478
lifetime
Volume
$1.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$45
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 07-20 22:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
53% 0% $-0
Other
43% 35% $-44
Sports
3% 67% +$6
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +19 $10 70¢ $13 +$3 07-01 12:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -15 $-10 74¢ $-11 $-0 06-07 20:15
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No -7 $-5 82¢ $-5 $-1 06-28 12:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-06 15:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-14 14:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 72¢ $4 $-1 07-14 11:19
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$1 07-17 21:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -0 $-0 78¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 18:47
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -0 $-0 97¢ $-0 $-0 06-30 23:35