Content-Tavern — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$475

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 08-01 22:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 61% +$10

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$63	64	64	+0	open	—	05-18 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$60	55	55	+0	open	—	05-15 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	05-23 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	3	$21	25	25	+0	open	—	05-18 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	6	$16	14	11	+3	Down	$-0	05-09 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$14	18	3	+15	Up	+$1	05-09 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$12	464	0	+464	open	—	05-18 08:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	3	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	05-09 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	05-15 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$10	31	31	+0	open	—	05-18 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$7	9	6	+3	Down	$-1	05-09 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Up	$-1	05-09 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Up	$-0	05-09 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-23 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-09 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-09 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$5	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	4	$4	17	17	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 10:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 22:06:45	mlb min sea 2026 08 01	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd9284b…
08-01 22:05:35	mlb mia nym 2026 08 01	Miami Marlins	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa3b757…
08-01 22:04:24	setkameua kostian yan 2026 08 01	Krol Yan	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ce9b7…
08-01 22:03:57	wta sawangk sramkov 2026 08 01	Rebecca Sramkova	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x11facc…
08-01 22:03:44	mlb min sea 2026 08 01	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9c0f4e…
08-01 22:03:29	mlb cws tb 2026 08 01	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa6dc68…
08-01 21:40:33	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbbc9e8…
08-01 19:14:05	will bitcoin reach 64k on august 1	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x67d8e3…
08-01 19:13:29	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 1	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4fac8d…
08-01 19:11:50	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb31965…
08-01 19:11:18	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10f5e2…
08-01 19:10:50	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3cda98…
08-01 17:01:27	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x30c278…
07-24 17:07:19	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdb75ee…
07-24 17:06:25	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfc3cb4…
07-24 15:41:16	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720012832781	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b3b25…
07-24 15:40:22	hengam island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013456856	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6a6236…
07-24 15:39:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x645430…
07-24 15:38:42	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd04dca…
07-24 15:35:30	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30be4a…
07-24 14:54:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xafe63d…
07-24 14:50:18	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x92703a…
07-24 14:41:25	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3245d7…
07-24 14:36:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x62478f…
07-24 14:35:33	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf26b89…
07-21 02:14:40	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xff53d8…
07-18 18:30:01	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf09a6…
07-18 18:18:40	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x969fd7…
05-23 16:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0xea828d…
05-23 16:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x524cbc…
05-23 16:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe21870…
05-23 16:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x502a68…
05-23 16:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x61624c…
05-21 18:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x44ae8b…
05-21 18:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd645a4…
05-18 10:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	42¢	$11	0x197120…
05-18 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x37e896…
05-18 10:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe64c74…
05-18 10:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	31	17¢	$5	0x076c9b…
05-18 10:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf63d89…
05-18 08:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	64	52¢	$33	0x482622…
05-18 08:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xfcdcc3…
05-18 08:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x37c9b3…
05-18 08:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x90e6f9…
05-18 08:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x611064…
05-18 08:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xf7f827…
05-18 08:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfa5f18…
05-17 09:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8e8788…
05-17 09:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x9a115b…
05-17 09:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xac5e57…
05-17 09:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbeb019…
05-17 09:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9f4368…
05-17 09:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x09cac0…
05-17 09:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcdfb53…
05-16 10:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x5e7b48…
05-16 10:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x134cd0…
05-16 10:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x2677c2…
05-16 10:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x862d91…
05-16 10:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2d8f8f…
05-16 10:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x812281…
05-16 10:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6d37c2…
05-16 10:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe6241b…
05-16 10:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0483de…
05-16 08:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xbfe148…
05-16 08:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x30cf3e…
05-16 08:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xe56309…
05-16 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa2c354…
05-15 12:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xaba92c…
05-15 12:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x643ff4…
05-15 12:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1383ef…
05-15 11:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7ea0d2…
05-15 11:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x05e109…
05-15 11:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf567e0…
05-15 11:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6923a7…
05-15 11:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0f0554…
05-15 11:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xf41476…
05-15 11:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1710c8…
05-15 06:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xda12d4…
05-15 06:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8e9f8c…
05-09 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xa5b5c5…
05-09 19:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9a0751…
05-09 19:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x3e802a…
05-09 19:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x06464b…
05-09 19:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa400e9…
05-09 19:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x012fb2…
05-09 19:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xa7fb2f…
05-09 19:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf04699…
05-09 19:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x03333a…
05-09 18:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x79aaed…
05-09 18:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1bbb9d…
05-09 18:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x41bd53…
05-09 18:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb36ee1…
05-09 18:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xdcec23…
05-09 17:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7aa87e…
05-09 17:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x50f663…
05-09 17:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x758c12…
05-09 17:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd2ff1a…
05-09 17:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1039bc…
05-09 17:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x110d06…
05-09 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2f3949…