Realized P&L
-$19.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$93
Hit rate
37.8%
Resolved
4,962
Trades
109,133
lifetime
Volume
$380.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$455
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 11-05 18:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 46% -$19,569
Other
2% 60% +$236
Politics
1% 65% +$7
Sports
1% 49% -$173
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$10
Tech
0% 47% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +38 $14 94¢ $36 +$21 06-08 06:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +32 $7 88¢ $28 +$22 06-07 03:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +20 $15 91¢ $18 +$3 08-03 06:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +19 $15 92¢ $18 +$3 07-08 02:07
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +18 $15 92¢ $17 +$2 08-06 19:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +22 $15 76¢ $17 +$2 08-06 10:37
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +25 $15 66¢ $17 +$2 08-27 01:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +17 $14 97¢ $17 +$2 08-05 06:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +16 $15 100¢ $16 +$2 08-30 02:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +19 $15 86¢ $16 +$1 09-04 12:43
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 97¢ $16 +$1 08-10 00:04
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 90¢ $16 +$1 09-01 12:19
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 No +16 $15 97¢ $16 +$1 08-17 02:05
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +16 $15 96¢ $16 +$1 09-01 11:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17 $2 90¢ $15 +$13 06-18 14:31
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +26 $15 56¢ $15 $0 08-13 14:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 94¢ $14 +$4 06-12 13:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 69¢ $14 -$1 09-18 21:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415 Yes +31 $15 46¢ $14 -$1 10-14 23:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $7 97¢ $13 +$5 11-04 07:27
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 70¢ $12 -$3 08-08 06:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +31 $15 38¢ $11 -$3 09-01 16:35
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 06-06 06:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +12 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 07-15 06:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 06-21 06:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 06-13 14:41
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 06-06 05:49
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +14 $7 70¢ $10 +$3 09-02 00:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +10 $7 96¢ $10 +$2 08-08 14:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? Yes +10 $5 99¢ $10 +$5 10-30 12:37