Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
27.6%
Resolved
194
Trades
2,113
lifetime
Volume
$1.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 10-28 16:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Politics
44% 41% -$9
Other
40% 25% -$11
Sports
16% 11% -$4
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 10-25 22:03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-28 15:04
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +3 $2 94¢ $2 $0 07-22 00:52
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 10-27 20:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 91¢ $2 +$0 10-28 16:36
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-29 13:55
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 10-28 11:12
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-28 07:19
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 09-30 14:45
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-17 11:57
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No -1 -$1 84¢ $-1 +$0 09-21 01:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +568 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 09-04 12:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $0 06-26 02:15
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 10-01 03:28