Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,151 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$50

$1.54K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-16

last 10-30 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Politics

44% 43% -$11

Other

40% 27% -$11

Sports

15% 11% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No		-1	-$1	82¢	$-1	+$0	09-21 01:11
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$0	10-01 03:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	113	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	10-22 18:28
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	158	$34	18	18	+0	No	+$0	09-29 01:38
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?	24	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	08-07 14:40
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	70	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	10-30 06:12
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	27	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	10-30 06:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	26	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	10-26 15:49
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	106	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	10-15 19:42
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	53	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	09-12 18:03
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	31	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	08-22 11:28
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	18	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	10-06 00:07
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	43	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	10-30 06:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	21	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	10-27 20:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	17	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-27 19:38
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	11	$16	9	7	+2	No	$0	06-27 22:06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	10	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	06-17 04:14
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	9	$14	168	168	+0	No	$0	06-17 04:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	16	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	10-09 21:33
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	9	$14	230	230	+0	No	$0	06-17 04:14
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	22	$14	9	6	+3	No	+$1	06-30 10:02
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	9	$13	128	128	+0	No	-$1	06-17 04:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	22	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	09-19 23:46
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	11	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	10-30 06:12
Trump out as President before 2027?	11	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	10-30 06:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	10-05 18:53
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	8	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-29 01:57
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-30 06:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	25	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	08-24 19:22
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-17 04:14
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	12	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-30 06:12
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	11	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	09-30 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:12:21	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd52f36…
10-30 06:12:21	Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9c51c3…
10-30 06:12:21	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x84f21d…
10-30 06:12:21	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x6c5e46…
10-30 06:12:21	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	Yes	SELL	568	0¢	$1	0x340e45…
10-30 06:12:21	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x06f5a4…
10-30 06:12:19	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xfc5847…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf5517b…
10-30 06:12:19	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xef5ca6…
10-30 06:12:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xeddbdd…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe5f593…
10-30 06:12:19	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe2a97f…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	0¢	$0	0xdfc221…
10-30 06:12:19	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xde69cc…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xdc0efd…
10-30 06:12:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xca0086…
10-30 06:12:19	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xbfdb33…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbfa4ab…
10-30 06:12:19	Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xbadd50…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xa82bf7…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xa7e3df…
10-30 06:12:19	Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xa4f92a…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x69ffd1…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x3f5146…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x3bddf8…
10-30 06:12:19	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x36e34e…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x2d18c8…
10-30 06:12:19	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1d5aaa…
10-30 06:12:19	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x0650bb…
10-30 02:30:24	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf51bd7…
10-30 02:21:15	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xc1a411…
10-29 20:33:01	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x294bbc…
10-29 20:17:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7eb6f3…
10-29 11:38:14	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf08cb…
10-29 11:30:23	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb89915…
10-29 11:30:16	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x43746b…
10-29 11:27:58	Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x1c1b60…
10-28 23:21:49	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x77265a…
10-28 16:36:59	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xa8bc2a…
10-28 15:43:49	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0xd914aa…
10-28 15:39:16	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x34dd70…
10-28 15:04:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9066af…
10-28 14:59:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xe8b1aa…
10-28 14:59:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xa1a593…
10-28 14:59:05	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb50817…
10-28 14:26:38	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd5f602…
10-28 14:04:32	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x314b15…
10-28 11:12:04	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x52ae60…
10-28 10:48:19	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x23dcb1…
10-28 09:24:07	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3ccc8d…
10-28 09:16:10	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4408c3…
10-28 07:19:38	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47d26d…
10-28 07:16:11	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe2da76…
10-28 05:24:20	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3706ca…
10-28 05:23:58	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6dbb39…
10-28 05:17:20	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d64c0…
10-28 04:37:32	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe88009…
10-27 22:45:39	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb41ae8…
10-27 21:14:56	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0a917d…
10-27 20:40:53	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b2b08…
10-27 20:40:50	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8003a…
10-27 20:34:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x472ded…
10-27 20:03:26	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x230658…
10-27 20:01:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x61421c…
10-27 20:00:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x21f6ee…
10-27 19:59:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xd9a461…
10-27 19:55:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa8fa1b…
10-27 19:53:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7423d7…
10-27 19:51:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x5011b5…
10-27 19:41:32	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0dee4b…
10-27 19:38:45	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6d002e…
10-27 19:28:32	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x51e927…
10-27 16:06:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xede1bd…
10-27 16:05:45	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdb300b…
10-27 15:58:29	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55cbd3…
10-27 15:43:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3fab26…
10-27 15:33:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7b8711…
10-27 15:33:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xce6aee…
10-27 15:17:36	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xefb2cc…
10-27 13:23:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x91277c…
10-27 13:22:53	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc5dbdb…
10-27 07:51:32	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x411ae1…
10-27 07:32:50	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x95bfda…
10-27 07:03:57	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb4780e…
10-27 06:39:29	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xec5615…
10-27 05:14:54	Will OpenAI retract its Navier-Stokes solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x940352…
10-27 01:20:08	Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6e9f16…
10-27 00:02:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x50cf0b…
10-26 23:04:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x1e7178…
10-26 23:00:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xdd82b4…
10-26 23:00:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x1a6b11…
10-26 22:55:06	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1a30c4…
10-26 22:37:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xc5bebe…
10-26 22:27:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf07dfc…
10-26 22:27:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc59a07…
10-26 22:08:38	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xff501e…
10-26 22:01:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x97cd3b…
10-26 20:43:38	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x399db3…
10-26 17:57:51	Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xbd7836…
10-26 16:37:11	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x469674…