Realized P&L
-$1.92K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.15K
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
317
Trades
647
lifetime
Volume
$41.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$5.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-04 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
64% 77% -$551
Other
33% 82% -$1,372
Crypto
1% 74% +$17
Sports
1% 86% -$11
Tech
0% 33% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,217 $1,125 92¢ $1.1K +$1 11-04 05:09
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,145 $1,056 93¢ $1.1K +$9 11-04 05:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +301 $250 90¢ $270 +$20 11-04 04:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +213 $200 96¢ $204 +$4 10-20 10:51
Trump out as President before 2027? No +210 $200 96¢ $202 +$2 10-20 03:22
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +209 $200 97¢ $202 +$2 10-21 01:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 10-20 12:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +155 $150 98¢ $152 +$2 10-20 11:23
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +179 $150 82¢ $147 -$3 10-20 12:04
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +143 $130 94¢ $134 +$4 10-20 12:04
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,931 $1,431 6¢ $125 -$1,306 11-04 05:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +125 $100 98¢ $122 +$22 11-04 02:19
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +130 $98 90¢ $116 +$18 10-23 13:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +114 $100 100¢ $114 +$14 11-03 12:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +150 $110 74¢ $112 +$2 10-20 10:52
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +112 $100 100¢ $112 +$12 10-01 06:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +121 $100 91¢ $110 +$10 08-17 23:40
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +110 $100 100¢ $109 +$9 11-04 04:09
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +108 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 10-20 12:04
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +108 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 10-21 00:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +106 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 08-17 23:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +106 $100 96¢ $102 +$2 08-17 23:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +104 $100 98¢ $102 +$2 10-20 03:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +104 $100 98¢ $102 +$2 08-17 23:42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +105 $100 96¢ $102 +$2 10-20 10:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +108 $100 94¢ $102 +$2 10-20 12:04
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +103 $100 98¢ $100 +$0 10-20 11:23
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +103 $100 97¢ $100 +$0 10-20 03:23
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +67 $50 87¢ $58 +$8 10-22 07:01
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +63 $50 84¢ $53 +$3 10-01 06:11