Glorious-Drama — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$7.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 07-12 03:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$4

Politics

38% 67% $-46

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	9	$602	665	0	+665	open	—	04-11 06:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$498	500	0	+500	open	—	07-09 22:15
atp garin zverev 2026 04 08	8	$444	249	246	+3	open	—	04-08 13:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$302	155	155	+0	open	—	04-08 06:08
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	3	$276	149	149	+0	open	—	04-08 09:49
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	3	$237	350	0	+350	open	—	07-10 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$216	270	0	+270	open	—	06-03 11:12
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	3	$215	185	185	+0	open	—	04-07 23:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$167	140	128	+12	open	—	04-13 14:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$154	120	120	+0	open	—	04-07 22:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$153	105	105	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	3	$150	161	0	+161	open	—	04-01 09:22
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?	2	$136	162	0	+162	open	—	04-18 10:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$127	0	130	-130	open	—	06-03 07:53
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	2	$122	130	0	+130	open	—	07-09 21:25
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$116	69	64	+5	open	—	04-20 04:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$106	200	0	+200	open	—	07-06 06:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	04-08 05:46
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	04-27 10:37
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	04-01 09:15
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	04-01 09:18
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	07-09 20:03
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	2	$99	105	0	+105	open	—	05-04 12:28
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	07-09 21:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	06-01 15:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	07-06 05:50
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	07-07 00:29
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	07-06 20:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	06-08 03:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 03:34:46	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xd5bc30…
07-11 22:20:38	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xd34faf…
07-10 16:20:35	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xa4b04a…
07-10 15:14:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xd05643…
07-10 14:34:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x8bc176…
07-10 14:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc9c9f4…
07-10 14:05:11	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	39	73¢	$28	0x518b6c…
07-10 13:27:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x0f0be7…
07-10 00:11:43	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x881ee1…
07-09 23:33:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x1e9a35…
07-09 22:15:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xdcf5bf…
07-09 21:28:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6cb3ee…
07-09 21:25:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x50c1c3…
07-09 20:41:10	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x3fc3f6…
07-09 20:05:58	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x400b2b…
07-09 20:03:26	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd86c89…
07-07 06:20:07	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x75d248…
07-07 00:29:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfbb5ea…
07-06 23:42:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x9c857b…
07-06 20:04:20	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x52dbc6…
07-06 19:50:13	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x86a09a…
07-06 18:00:50	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x14672c…
07-06 17:55:11	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x115764…
07-06 06:53:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x839eea…
07-06 06:12:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	95	66¢	$63	0x4175a2…
07-06 05:51:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x49d807…
07-06 05:50:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xde7c18…
07-06 05:49:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6578f8…
07-06 05:39:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x212a8f…
07-06 05:21:38	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0x0d9050…
06-18 06:38:19	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x4f9a7c…
06-16 20:48:49	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x457321…
06-08 16:02:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0xa46f48…
06-08 15:53:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xe721f6…
06-08 15:53:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x03feec…
06-08 15:50:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x57cb06…
06-08 14:26:12	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb5a3de…
06-08 14:23:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x364c31…
06-08 11:23:39	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd965e5…
06-08 11:23:36	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbe0f43…
06-08 11:23:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd871e3…
06-08 11:23:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd7042f…
06-08 09:35:10	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3ebe5e…
06-08 06:15:22	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xd16dd6…
06-08 06:04:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7ddc2b…
06-08 06:01:01	ebola case in the us by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xcd8cb0…
06-08 05:45:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x08b66a…
06-08 05:21:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7d35d6…
06-08 05:16:33	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x482eca…
06-08 03:34:55	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x775150…
06-04 03:39:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5c5c26…
06-04 03:34:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x502587…
06-04 02:58:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x127daf…
06-04 02:13:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x1c613f…
06-03 11:12:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x60b57e…
06-03 11:11:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x95e925…
06-03 10:12:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	185	80¢	$148	0x97260a…
06-03 10:12:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x1e8822…
06-03 07:53:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	74	98¢	$73	0x3a72fc…
06-03 07:53:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x10bd0f…
06-02 16:29:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb107c0…
06-01 17:51:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xba2109…
06-01 17:45:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0b4314…
06-01 17:07:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x3237cb…
06-01 16:55:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb1f7f2…
06-01 16:40:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xc0f70d…
06-01 16:35:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x5b5be9…
06-01 16:11:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x4a9d13…
06-01 15:51:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0xc0318c…
06-01 15:48:18	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xf25cdb…
06-01 15:31:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xd41e4c…
06-01 15:30:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x088dc9…
06-01 15:26:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x2525b4…
06-01 15:22:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2344e1…
06-01 15:22:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x202e13…
06-01 15:02:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xabc744…
06-01 14:56:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x093680…
06-01 14:48:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x936309…
06-01 14:42:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x82a63f…
06-01 14:39:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x326926…
06-01 14:37:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf061a3…
05-26 10:15:28	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x390120…
05-26 06:00:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x01bce4…
05-26 05:55:46	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x07ca4d…
05-26 05:35:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x164581…
05-26 05:34:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x142550…
05-26 05:34:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfc1f8d…
05-14 05:25:40	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x768045…
05-14 05:07:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdf2bcc…
05-05 16:52:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x48324b…
05-05 12:09:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0xdc71e8…
05-04 12:28:58	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2bf080…
05-02 06:47:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xbfa2e9…
05-02 06:47:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc163bd…
05-02 06:42:20	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe22b4d…
05-02 03:07:00	Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago White Sox	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x48ef69…
05-02 01:32:16	Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xf607c1…
05-01 17:33:08	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0ec6ae…
05-01 16:34:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	88	94¢	$83	0x380806…
05-01 16:34:10	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xff0455…