Grubby-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

195 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.87K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-25 06:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Sports

41% 100% +$1

Other

40% 98% +$421

Crypto

19% 50% -$8

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	85	$1.2K	1,202	1,202	+0	No	+$1	04-22 02:16
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	8	$560	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$440	06-17 03:34
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	5	$537	276	276	+0	No	+$1	03-14 05:49
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$35	498	498	+0	Yes	-$20	04-27 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-24 10:27
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on August 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-15 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-26 02:49
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in May?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on July 1?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-01 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-26 02:41
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 03:15
bitcoin up or down march 4 2am et	1	$9	20	0	+20	Up	-$9	03-04 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on August 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 1?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-01 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 06:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe38009…
08-25 06:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21a6bc…
08-25 06:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x07177d…
07-24 10:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa646e0…
07-24 10:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfa8462…
07-24 10:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x214229…
07-17 08:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ba064…
07-17 08:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe90647…
07-17 08:21:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3e79c9…
07-13 03:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xedeebe…
07-13 03:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3668ad…
07-13 03:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x34cee1…
07-01 09:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1a307c…
07-01 09:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b42e5…
07-01 09:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x08aed5…
06-17 03:34:24	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x7a0b75…
06-17 03:33:39	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0xe5c13c…
06-17 03:33:04	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xc58933…
06-17 03:29:15	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x374ba4…
06-17 03:27:51	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xaf649a…
06-17 03:23:30	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	152	56¢	$85	0x23327e…
06-17 03:20:39	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	537	56¢	$301	0x814931…
06-17 03:20:27	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	172	56¢	$96	0x55ae57…
06-08 07:18:48	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xff4817…
06-08 07:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb125b…
06-08 07:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x393f8b…
06-08 07:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x737aa8…
06-08 07:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53aa06…
06-04 14:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?	No	SELL	600	0¢	$1	0x18ba51…
06-04 08:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x5dcaf7…
05-29 03:15:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4efb03…
05-29 03:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xcd8eaa…
05-29 03:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25eac0…
05-29 03:08:05	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7ae291…
05-26 02:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49e268…
05-26 02:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x06fc06…
05-26 02:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x14d478…
05-26 02:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x36b9ac…
05-26 02:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ba49a…
05-26 02:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x92a7ab…
05-22 07:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ba52a…
05-22 07:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x75d915…
05-22 07:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc628ba…
05-22 07:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcbb8ef…
05-22 07:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0455db…
05-22 07:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdecd74…
05-21 06:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9484a1…
05-21 06:35:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x00ab2d…
05-21 06:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8fae09…
05-21 06:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 61°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x04bc26…
05-21 06:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x228b56…
05-21 06:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bff6b…
05-20 07:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf65196…
05-20 07:13:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x118ec7…
05-20 07:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7f575f…
05-15 07:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2231d8…
05-15 07:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc19c9…
05-15 07:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb325dd…
05-15 07:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae9064…
05-15 07:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec860c…
05-15 06:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e1230…
05-14 10:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x804a9e…
05-14 10:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf2f239…
05-14 10:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x36624a…
05-14 02:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x3a2754…
05-14 02:44:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x217d35…
05-14 02:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f464d…
05-14 02:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95eb2d…
05-14 02:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa607c0…
05-14 02:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa84610…
05-14 02:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x00cfda…
05-14 02:35:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb291ff…
05-14 02:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe89086…
05-11 06:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa8c885…
05-11 06:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd2425…
05-11 06:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xde7b64…
05-11 06:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf374c0…
05-11 06:22:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba8b39…
05-11 06:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x069f0d…
05-11 06:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29337e…
05-11 06:19:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc4680…
05-11 06:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62e332…
05-11 06:17:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0db2cb…
05-11 06:16:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5e334…
05-11 06:15:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0349b7…
05-09 03:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xced93f…
05-09 03:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a499b…
05-09 03:39:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe1902d…
05-08 06:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x33e184…
05-08 06:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x14a2f6…
05-08 06:49:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 49°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x068e6e…
05-07 02:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73059a…
05-07 02:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2e134c…
05-07 02:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6711f5…
04-28 09:55:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5a282…
04-28 09:53:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc8696…
04-28 09:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0d1d5…
04-27 12:28:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	420	2¢	$6	0x9ed45b…
04-27 12:21:02	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x307e77…
04-27 11:29:40	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	76	2¢	$1	0xc19775…