(anonymous) 0x9c2bdf…82075c
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
78.3%
Resolved (90d)
10
Trades (90d)
36
36 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$224
$224 lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$61
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 03:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
49% 71% +$24
Politics
44% — —
Crypto
6% 33% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +24 $18 99¢ $24 +$6 05-07 21:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +60 $40 24¢ $14 $-25 05-06 09:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +37 $20 34¢ $12 $-8 05-07 11:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-5 38¢ $-5 $-0 05-14 01:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -34 $-9 6¢ $-2 +$7 05-07 20:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes -87 $-11 2¢ $-2 +$9 05-06 16:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$1 05-10 08:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes +69 $5 0¢ $0 $-4 05-07 12:31