Starchy-Sustainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$43

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-13 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$1

Other

41% 100% +$1

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	-3	$-1	42¢	$-1	$-1	05-12 17:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	-1	$-1	94¢	$-1	$-0	05-11 23:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	05-12 22:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-11 23:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-11 23:38
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	+1	$1	58¢	$1	$-0	05-12 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea6242…
05-13 08:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x351e39…
05-13 08:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x315f5d…
05-13 08:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x0d3a01…
05-13 08:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x13c496…
05-13 08:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x42e081…
05-12 23:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbf6aeb…
05-12 22:36:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x80a45b…
05-12 17:22:17	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfc5a43…
05-12 17:21:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x9db8ae…
05-11 23:38:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb56f9f…
05-11 23:38:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c850c…
05-11 23:30:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x96fc84…
05-11 16:00:13	DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x3c74c4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$4.23K	82	05-13 09:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$1.57K	40	05-13 09:09
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	5	$1.48K	16	05-13 09:09
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	4	$31.1K	17	05-13 00:46
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	4	$21.0K	5	05-13 05:26
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	4	$19.8K	71	05-12 11:12
Cavernous-Zipper 0x8c2f…1a88	4	$13.7K	13	05-09 00:31
Gorgeous-Coffin 0x5ccf…79d7	4	$12.3K	14	05-13 00:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$16	17	0	+17	Up	+$1	05-11 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-13 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 08:29
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$2	1	3	-1	open	—	05-12 17:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-11 23:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-12 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-13 08:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-11 23:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-11 23:38