Realized P&L (90d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved (90d)
34
Trades (90d)
27
1,447 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$27
$3.62K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$9
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-21 02:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Politics
40% 33% -$22
Crypto
28% 57% -$68
Other
25% 50% -$15
Tech
7% 15% -$1
Sports
1% 60% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 06-10 21:36
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No -1 $0 98¢ $-1 -$1 04-29 00:25
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 04-29 00:29
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 04-29 00:28
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 04-29 00:28
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 04-29 00:25
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 06-10 21:35
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $0 10-21 02:35
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -1 -$1 35¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 00:26
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No -1 -$1 24¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 00:28