Curly-Screening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

+$43

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,233

lifetime

Volume

$61.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$374

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-101

Politics

41% 0% $-16

Sports

14% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+150	$106	96¢	$143	+$37	07-02 03:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$132	92¢	$137	+$5	07-02 03:54
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	-97	$-94	96¢	$-93	+$1	06-15 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump deport less than 250000	208	$5.5K	3,003	2,680	+323	open	—	01-30 03:31
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$4.8K	2,437	2,437	+0	open	—	04-26 15:32
will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	118	$4.2K	2,112	2,136	-24	open	—	02-26 07:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$3.1K	1,700	1,500	+200	open	—	01-28 22:50
will trump deport 500000 750000 people	79	$2.7K	1,440	1,403	+37	open	—	02-20 21:25
will trump deport 750000 or more people in 2025	62	$2.4K	1,391	1,092	+299	open	—	02-03 13:09
will trump deport 1000000 1250000 people	28	$2.1K	891	1,191	-300	open	—	02-05 22:25
will tyler shough be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 166	29	$1.8K	916	916	+0	open	—	02-06 02:19
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$1.5K	828	828	+0	open	—	02-28 18:07
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	26	$1.4K	839	639	+200	open	—	02-20 00:54
will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	14	$1.4K	699	699	+0	open	—	02-13 15:28
will carson schwesinger be the 2025 2026 nfl defensive rookie of the year	25	$1.3K	769	619	+150	open	—	01-23 20:20
will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election	29	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	01-18 19:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	11	$984	515	515	+0	open	—	02-11 19:15
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	15	$895	500	400	+100	open	—	02-08 20:32
will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	20	$888	450	450	+0	open	—	01-19 02:22
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	15	$861	438	438	+0	open	—	02-01 05:20
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by january 31	9	$687	342	350	-8	open	—	01-31 20:31
will emeka egbuka be the 2025 2026 nfl offensive rookie of the year 158	15	$672	339	339	+0	open	—	02-03 16:01
will google gemini 3 score at least 70 on the frontiermath benchmark	16	$671	341	341	+0	open	—	02-01 07:01
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	14	$582	300	300	+0	open	—	02-26 06:32
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$491	360	150	+210	open	—	01-30 07:24
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$490	0	500	-500	open	—	06-09 10:36
will elon cut the budget by at least 5 in 2025	5	$480	250	250	+0	open	—	02-20 13:54
will megaeth perform an airdrop by february 15	6	$479	250	250	+0	open	—	02-09 04:33
will drake perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	9	$432	222	222	+0	open	—	02-09 05:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$399	0	400	-400	open	—	06-24 13:22
will taylor swift perform during the super bowl lx halftime show 575 927	5	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 03:31
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	8	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	01-28 04:58
trump out as president by march 31	2	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	02-24 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 03:54:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x843cc0…
07-02 03:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0xec2a06…
07-02 03:54:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0xdfdc15…
06-30 03:23:23	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xf974a6…
06-30 03:22:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x6f40e8…
06-26 03:57:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x0ca751…
06-24 13:22:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x61e816…
06-24 13:22:44	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xa2c6fa…
06-17 06:51:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xfcffce…
06-17 06:50:43	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x676b1a…
06-17 06:50:23	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xfafbee…
06-17 06:50:01	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	43	64¢	$28	0xc268be…
06-17 06:49:53	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	57	64¢	$36	0x304704…
06-17 06:49:38	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	97	64¢	$62	0x378ef2…
06-17 06:49:25	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x6b84e6…
06-15 16:29:51	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x24b416…
06-15 16:24:52	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0xbfa9c0…
06-15 15:55:19	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xee58cf…
06-15 15:54:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	75	61¢	$46	0xc41933…
06-15 15:53:51	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x17ca30…
06-15 10:37:43	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x84d450…
06-15 09:03:33	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0364a4…
06-14 11:00:28	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xe9bcdf…
06-11 04:06:39	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	105	68¢	$72	0xd706e5…
06-11 04:06:09	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xa52171…
06-11 04:05:09	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x0c3bea…
06-09 10:36:21	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x659c99…
06-08 04:05:24	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	81	64¢	$52	0x9d1149…
06-07 04:43:36	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0x8e2f25…
06-07 04:41:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0x9d2c81…
06-03 15:17:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x937dae…
06-03 14:14:41	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xa6abb3…
06-01 10:14:56	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x9d033d…
06-01 10:14:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x9c7fac…
05-31 10:00:01	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0xb962ed…
05-28 13:49:13	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	87	86¢	$75	0x61f960…
05-28 13:48:53	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	96	66¢	$63	0xe355e8…
05-25 16:59:00	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0x468eea…
05-15 06:25:58	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xb4ecf9…
05-11 02:46:31	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcef3cc…
05-08 03:03:41	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xbc3ba0…
05-08 03:03:04	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	No	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x8ebd4b…
05-06 03:32:10	Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xe72e1c…
05-05 13:12:34	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x718feb…
05-05 11:22:02	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd068b4…
05-05 09:26:16	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0c3c3e…
05-04 03:18:54	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8a154d…
04-27 11:44:22	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x6b0e3c…
04-27 11:40:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x9fb542…
04-26 15:32:32	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xddc106…
04-24 03:32:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x4c5f3c…
04-23 11:13:38	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2cb30f…
04-23 03:49:16	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x4befc1…
04-23 03:10:04	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	47	67¢	$31	0x55ef2a…
04-22 05:28:42	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xfc71f8…
04-21 10:58:52	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xca69d6…
04-20 03:43:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x907dcd…
04-19 04:37:36	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x7464fc…
04-19 04:36:46	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xa8be28…
04-19 04:35:58	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x9f2e1e…
04-17 04:09:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe01049…
04-17 04:04:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x83ad03…
04-17 03:35:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0xe3812b…
04-16 04:13:46	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	70	59¢	$41	0xb8372f…
04-16 04:10:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xc048e4…
04-16 04:09:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x67e652…
04-15 08:46:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x01f272…
04-15 03:29:56	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	79	64¢	$50	0xd9aec0…
04-15 03:29:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	99	61¢	$60	0x42859c…
04-15 03:26:20	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	437	99¢	$432	0x6a8bc1…
04-14 04:27:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x2a28ff…
04-14 04:24:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xceec6e…
04-14 04:20:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x422772…
04-13 08:55:27	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	152	17¢	$26	0xf0eddc…
04-13 04:35:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	90	57¢	$51	0x2d8509…
04-13 04:34:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x05e1f1…
04-12 03:56:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	85	80¢	$68	0xcf93d0…
04-12 03:54:47	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x3675a3…
04-11 17:26:29	will the portland trail blazers make the nba playoffs 772	No	SELL	161	36¢	$58	0xf4d97f…
04-10 06:43:47	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x5fa0ef…
04-10 06:42:49	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x594773…
04-10 06:42:11	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0xe6007e…
04-09 03:47:57	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	SELL	128	31¢	$39	0x83846d…
04-06 04:24:53	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	No	BUY	99	71¢	$70	0x8dfa16…
04-06 04:23:31	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x2cb773…
04-06 04:22:21	will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	No	BUY	128	63¢	$80	0xc1b006…
04-05 06:04:41	will the miami heat make the nba playoffs 867	No	BUY	126	64¢	$80	0xeafdbc…
04-05 06:04:03	will the portland trail blazers make the nba playoffs 772	No	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xc79697…
04-05 06:03:31	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x092818…
04-01 04:29:31	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xc72f7a…
04-01 04:28:37	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	117	60¢	$70	0xff3210…
04-01 04:27:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0x78a2cc…
04-01 04:26:41	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	No	BUY	96	64¢	$62	0xb49be5…
03-22 05:26:07	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	2,437	96¢	$2,344	0x9a93f5…
03-20 13:53:41	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x58ff5f…
03-20 13:53:41	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	88	40¢	$35	0x18e5e3…
03-20 10:14:43	btc updown 5m 1774001400	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8dfdc…
03-20 10:07:55	btc updown 5m 1774001100	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x1985a8…
03-20 10:04:51	btc updown 5m 1774000800	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06de4a…
03-20 10:04:07	btc updown 5m 1774000800	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x948237…