Writhing-Placement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$553

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$227

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 09-21 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

68% 17% -$550

Politics

32% 0% -$2

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+13	$3	15¢	$2	-$1	09-21 02:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	2	$987	525	525	+0	No	+$0	06-13 07:31
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	2	$940	478	478	+0	No	-$1	05-12 04:49
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	3	$897	490	490	+0	open	—	06-12 07:04
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	2	$850	445	445	+0	open	—	07-13 07:57
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	2	$849	451	451	+0	open	—	07-13 06:59
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	2	$837	445	445	+0	No	+$0	06-22 09:16
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	2	$834	440	440	+0	open	—	06-22 10:08
ukraine coup attempt by december 31	3	$800	435	435	+0	open	—	07-06 11:30
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	2	$797	430	430	+0	No	+$0	07-06 06:48
will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	2	$713	370	370	+0	No	-$1	08-28 02:21
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	2	$708	370	370	+0	No	-$2	08-28 03:21
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	1	$494	525	0	+525	Yes	-$494	06-13 07:56
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$470	494	0	+494	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	+$25	05-12 04:56
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	1	$456	490	0	+490	Under	+$34	06-12 07:11
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	4	$134	970	970	+0	No	+$0	04-30 07:32
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	2	$42	970	0	+970	Wuhan San Zhen FC	-$42	05-06 10:57
Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)	2	$39	940	0	+940	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	-$39	04-30 07:35
chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$22	715	0	+715	Qingdao Xihaian FC	-$22	04-11 07:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	4	$19	960	960	+0	No	-$6	05-06 10:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$14	110	110	+0	open	—	05-20 03:09
Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	4	$10	80	80	+0	FathUnionSport	-$6	05-06 11:43
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	09-21 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 02:05:35	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xe8b3ff…
08-28 03:21:04	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	370	95¢	$353	0x7c4170…
08-28 02:45:57	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	370	96¢	$355	0x008571…
08-28 02:21:27	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	No	SELL	370	96¢	$356	0x0989d3…
08-28 01:36:30	will trump meet with vladimir putin in september 2026 20260826	No	BUY	370	97¢	$357	0x5d74ab…
07-13 07:57:58	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	445	96¢	$425	0x89eed4…
07-13 07:08:49	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	445	96¢	$425	0x45a17d…
07-13 06:59:37	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	451	94¢	$424	0x261975…
07-13 05:53:10	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	451	94¢	$424	0x09e3b4…
07-06 11:30:49	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x71f7c7…
07-06 11:30:29	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	SELL	431	93¢	$401	0xc0a3d2…
07-06 07:21:31	ukraine coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	435	91¢	$396	0x2e4d1c…
07-06 06:48:25	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	430	93¢	$399	0xc4b563…
07-06 05:40:49	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	430	93¢	$399	0xa2d38c…
06-22 10:08:10	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	440	95¢	$416	0x72fad4…
06-22 09:31:05	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	440	95¢	$418	0xf3d2c8…
06-22 09:16:44	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	SELL	445	94¢	$418	0x02a846…
06-22 08:19:26	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	BUY	445	94¢	$418	0x80f5a6…
06-13 07:56:22	Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	No	BUY	525	94¢	$494	0xa08db6…
06-13 07:31:37	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	525	94¢	$494	0xfb50f6…
06-13 05:26:51	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	525	94¢	$494	0xfc2001…
06-12 07:11:00	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	490	93¢	$456	0xf92163…
06-12 07:04:24	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x53db5a…
06-12 07:04:10	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	470	91¢	$428	0x0f9e11…
06-12 04:50:24	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	490	92¢	$451	0xd1b894…
05-20 03:09:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	6¢	$7	0x922793…
05-20 03:05:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0xc39e1b…
05-12 04:56:23	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	BUY	494	95¢	$470	0x874cde…
05-12 04:49:49	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	478	98¢	$469	0x1cd605…
05-12 02:48:31	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	478	98¢	$471	0xe7c77c…
05-06 11:43:28	Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	IR Tanger	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xab73a0…
05-06 11:43:28	Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	IR Tanger	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x45a714…
05-06 10:57:06	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	490	4¢	$21	0xd67a33…
05-06 10:56:36	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	480	4¢	$21	0x7a1979…
05-06 10:47:06	Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	IR Tanger	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xe39643…
05-06 10:47:06	Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	IR Tanger	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x2108eb…
05-06 10:44:54	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	485	1¢	$3	0xcf43df…
05-06 10:44:40	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	475	1¢	$3	0xfe963d…
05-06 07:29:40	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	1¢	$6	0x99b4a6…
05-06 07:29:22	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	475	1¢	$6	0x11dcdb…
04-30 07:35:48	Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)	Al Okhdood SC	BUY	480	4¢	$20	0x7552a5…
04-30 07:35:28	Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)	Al Okhdood SC	BUY	460	4¢	$19	0x8d2035…
04-30 07:32:30	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	490	7¢	$34	0x5fa234…
04-30 07:32:14	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	7¢	$33	0x6a0cd8…
04-30 06:28:58	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	7¢	$34	0xe2da8c…
04-30 06:28:42	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	7¢	$33	0x7a8453…
04-11 07:57:59	chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Liaoning Tieren FC	BUY	350	3¢	$11	0x9d3031…
04-11 07:57:41	chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Liaoning Tieren FC	BUY	365	3¢	$11	0xd50a53…