(anonymous) 0xb055d6…ff92c6 Create alert
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved
17
Trades
75
lifetime
Volume
$136
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$76
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 11-06 11:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
71% 69% +$6
Other
22% 100% +$2
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $7 79¢ $7 +$0 10-27 20:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11 $6 63¢ $7 +$1 10-27 20:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +18 $5 34¢ $6 +$1 11-05 21:46
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 11-05 22:03
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +4 $1 98¢ $4 +$3 10-31 13:21
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +5 $2 81¢ $4 +$2 10-27 21:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +10 $3 36¢ $4 +$1 11-05 21:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 10-30 19:21
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +6 $4 56¢ $3 $0 10-29 22:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +5 $2 45¢ $2 +$0 10-29 11:57
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +5 $2 44¢ $2 +$0 10-27 20:17
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? Yes +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 11-06 11:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-01 17:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? Yes +5 $3 43¢ $2 -$1 11-01 17:21
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 60¢ $2 +$0 10-30 20:34
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 54¢ $2 $0 10-27 20:28
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? Yes +2 $1 74¢ $2 +$1 10-28 11:09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +3 $1 62¢ $2 +$1 10-27 21:06
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 10-28 11:09
Will the next elected US president be a woman? Yes +5 $1 27¢ $1 $0 11-01 19:19
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:34
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 11-05 21:52
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 11-05 21:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 11-05 21:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 10-28 11:10
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 11-01 17:23
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 11-05 21:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 11-01 17:14
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-31 13:28
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-05 21:52