(anonymous) 0xb6cb0e…7b21cd Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
61
Trades
90
lifetime
Volume
$95
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-27 16:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
56% 93% +$2
Politics
17% 75% $0
Tech
17% 82% -$1
Sports
9% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-26 19:51
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 $0 10-26 19:48
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-30 07:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-27 16:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-29 06:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 08-17 20:55
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-29 06:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 08-17 20:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-26 19:48
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-26 19:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-26 19:45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 10-26 19:46
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 09-29 06:25
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 09-29 06:25
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 $0 10-26 19:49
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $0 05-06 11:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 Yes +1 $1 64¢ $1 $0 09-29 06:24
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 06-30 07:27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2 $1 46¢ $1 $0 10-26 19:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1 $1 44¢ $1 $0 08-17 20:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1 $1 42¢ $0 -$1 08-17 20:56