Puzzling-Familiar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$160

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$6.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 08-02 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

45% 67% +$160

Other

29% — —

Sports

26% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-26 02:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$678	590	590	+0	open	—	04-07 22:57
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	49	$640	587	587	+0	Yes	+$6	05-08 05:36
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	9	$501	3,580	0	+3,580	open	—	05-26 16:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$383	637	637	+0	Yes	$-3	05-07 19:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$277	693	693	+0	open	—	04-12 16:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	12	$227	1,762	1,762	+0	open	—	04-21 18:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$225	1,419	419	+1,000	open	—	05-28 17:15
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	2	$163	110	110	+0	open	—	06-23 17:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$160	313	313	+0	open	—	05-20 14:39
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 goals ismael saibari gte1	2	$153	103	103	+0	open	—	06-25 00:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$138	82	82	+0	open	—	04-12 19:00
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$121	158	158	+0	open	—	04-12 13:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$115	246	246	+0	open	—	05-22 13:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$108	600	0	+600	open	—	05-23 15:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$103	794	794	+0	open	—	05-10 20:13
mlb cle tex 2026 06 06	1	$101	190	0	+190	open	—	06-06 20:59
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	1	$101	258	0	+258	open	—	05-18 07:20
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	5	$100	257	0	+257	Yes	+$157	04-16 21:02
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	1	$100	193	0	+193	open	—	06-06 21:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$89	344	19	+325	open	—	04-21 22:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$69	625	0	+625	open	—	04-27 13:23
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$50	90	0	+90	open	—	06-01 14:27
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 assists pedro neto gte1	3	$50	180	0	+180	open	—	06-23 15:44
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 assists brahim diaz gte1	1	$50	222	0	+222	open	—	06-24 16:17
fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 goals ermedin demirovic gte1	1	$50	139	0	+139	open	—	06-24 16:16
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	1	$50	172	0	+172	open	—	06-23 19:09
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 first half total 1pt5	1	$40	114	0	+114	open	—	06-25 18:18
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 team total away 2pt5	1	$36	100	0	+100	open	—	06-23 15:37
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 assists ruben vargas gte1	1	$30	161	0	+161	open	—	06-24 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 09:06:32	lol lng ig1 2026 08 02	LNG Esports	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9b487c…
08-02 06:22:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb6b79b…
08-02 01:44:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x579bee…
08-01 18:47:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa56114…
08-01 18:47:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x830bfd…
08-01 18:47:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8ea36a…
08-01 18:47:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x19610a…
08-01 04:22:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xd7d924…
08-01 02:04:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6bc4a5…
07-30 23:34:51	mlb pit cin 2026 07 30	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x659452…
07-29 16:12:18	mlb ari pit 2026 07 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa5e767…
07-28 22:28:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xfff1c0…
07-28 22:17:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x7e8024…
07-28 22:17:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0d2925…
07-28 22:04:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x8c3fe0…
07-28 15:56:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x22da41…
07-27 21:03:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfb18ac…
07-27 21:03:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x4939dc…
07-27 20:58:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xaa9b13…
07-27 20:56:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x4b8699…
07-27 20:53:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x1cd9fd…
07-27 16:33:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb5af49…
07-27 14:00:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0xbb94f6…
07-27 07:44:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0xe9187f…
07-26 20:08:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6db975…
07-25 22:36:45	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x5a2d7f…
07-25 21:45:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5c7294…
07-24 14:24:22	lol edg blg 2026 07 24	EDward Gaming	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x7670d1…
07-24 13:07:18	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xf9621b…
07-23 23:52:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x167b1b…
07-23 20:58:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xea007e…
07-23 20:58:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf99cb5…
07-23 15:58:07	cs2 100t ntr 2026 07 23	100 Thieves	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf46aaf…
07-23 15:58:00	cs2 100t ntr 2026 07 23	100 Thieves	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5bbfc6…
07-23 13:55:37	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x80490e…
07-22 21:51:04	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa70702…
07-22 20:40:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0xc0b9ca…
07-20 08:09:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xa6f1f6…
07-20 07:59:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x35f374…
07-20 07:44:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xc8f4ae…
07-15 20:40:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x2ea1b8…
07-15 14:59:29	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xd81509…
07-14 09:39:19	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x357f5a…
07-13 00:34:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$3	0x53a24f…
07-12 05:27:37	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0xcc69d7…
07-10 22:30:37	mlb mil pit 2026 07 10	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x903615…
07-10 21:40:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb90bb0…
07-10 21:40:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0x6b6ed5…
07-10 04:56:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x1d5cb1…
07-09 16:37:53	mlb atl pit 2026 07 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x7f10b5…
07-05 06:13:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x51e971…
07-05 05:27:31	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5158bd…
07-04 15:28:49	crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 04	England	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xe99e2b…
07-04 10:59:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	71	4¢	$3	0x9e5be2…
07-03 04:56:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x9eabb0…
07-02 23:03:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfed331…
06-27 18:05:23	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xed959a…
06-27 17:57:10	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7d79cd…
06-25 19:39:31	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 goals brian brobbey gte1	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4056ed…
06-25 19:38:47	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 goals viktor gyokeres gte1	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xd4c045…
06-25 19:37:53	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 assists nicolas pepe gte1	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xf7b437…
06-25 19:33:04	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 goals kai havertz gte1	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x0e17fd…
06-25 18:23:17	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 goals cody gakpo gte2	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x3a8f19…
06-25 18:22:41	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 goals ayase ueda gte2	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0x759194…
06-25 18:22:41	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 goals ayase ueda gte2	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x65efe9…
06-25 18:19:46	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x1f21d2…
06-25 18:18:52	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xc2fecd…
06-25 18:17:46	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa8c26b…
06-25 18:17:07	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xb7019b…
06-25 00:10:35	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 goals ismael saibari gte1	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x4fe729…
06-24 16:19:14	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 assists lucas paqueta gte1	Yes	BUY	117	26¢	$30	0x545753…
06-24 16:18:49	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 assists ruben vargas gte1	Yes	BUY	161	19¢	$30	0x1efcb7…
06-24 16:17:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 assists brahim diaz gte1	Yes	BUY	222	23¢	$50	0x898ca3…
06-24 16:17:22	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 goals ismael saibari gte1	Yes	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0x9de5a1…
06-24 16:16:47	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 goals ermedin demirovic gte1	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x42475b…
06-23 19:19:10	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 assists james rodriguez gte1	Yes	BUY	108	28¢	$30	0x511fc4…
06-23 19:09:49	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x0ba378…
06-23 17:23:35	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xd01224…
06-23 15:44:29	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 assists pedro neto gte1	Yes	BUY	173	28¢	$48	0x1ee40a…
06-23 15:39:38	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	110	48¢	$53	0x6e4359…
06-23 15:38:20	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7a7c06…
06-23 15:37:10	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x8ac80f…
06-23 09:48:44	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 assists pedro neto gte1	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x59e9a8…
06-23 09:02:43	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 assists pedro neto gte1	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xd1853c…
06-21 20:05:37	mlb pit col 2026 06 21 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9214b9…
06-21 20:02:59	mlb pit col 2026 06 21 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xf029f2…
06-21 19:40:38	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xb453dc…
06-21 17:11:13	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x7c743d…
06-21 15:00:32	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x66b513…
06-06 21:00:31	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x862a54…
06-06 20:59:40	mlb cle tex 2026 06 06	Texas Rangers	BUY	190	53¢	$101	0xeb2932…
06-01 14:27:52	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xe7ef97…
06-01 14:27:20	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xefd944…
05-28 17:15:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	636	15¢	$95	0x091ee7…
05-28 17:14:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xd47c12…
05-28 17:04:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	302	15¢	$45	0xa97837…
05-28 17:04:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xcc9416…
05-28 17:03:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0xafb84e…
05-26 16:30:10	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	2,980	14¢	$417	0xd61b97…
05-26 16:30:05	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xcff614…