(anonymous) 0xc3080e…18a5f2 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
59
Trades
311
lifetime
Volume
$2.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$157
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-27
last 11-13 17:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
77% 54% -$49
Crypto
21% 52% -$16
Politics
1% 0% -$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 13? Down +138 $128 97¢ $134 +$5 11-13 16:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +45 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-10 18:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +59 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-13 15:05
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +71 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-13 15:03
Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-13 14:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-13 14:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +12 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-13 15:06
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-13 15:01
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +14 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-13 14:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +28 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-10 15:50
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-13 15:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +59 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-10 15:50
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +34 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-13 14:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +34 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-10 21:50
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +12 $1 7¢ $1 $0 11-13 15:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? No +27 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-13 14:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-13 14:53
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-10 18:34
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +16 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-13 15:05
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-13 15:01
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30, 2026? Yes +14 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-10 21:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +27 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-13 14:59
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-11 13:09
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-10 21:57
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +77 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-13 14:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-10 15:49
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes +16 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? Yes +4 $1 14¢ $1 $0 11-10 15:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 11-10 15:37
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +30 $1 2¢ $0 $0 11-13 15:56