Realized P&L
+$488
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
81
Trades
252
lifetime
Volume
$16.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$2.52K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 19:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
47% 71% -$144
Politics
39% 78% +$564
Sports
14% 93% +$68
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -561 -$472 97¢ $-545 -$73 05-27 20:00
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +413 $398 97¢ $398 +$1 10-21 16:48
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +288 $276 98¢ $281 +$5 10-10 06:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +198 $190 98¢ $194 +$4 09-20 07:22
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +150 $146 99¢ $148 +$2 10-21 16:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +150 $144 94¢ $142 -$2 11-01 19:03
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +150 $135 94¢ $142 +$7 09-19 11:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +130 $104 94¢ $122 +$18 09-15 00:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +120 $100 96¢ $116 +$16 08-14 08:05
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +100 $86 96¢ $96 +$10 09-19 11:19
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$0 11-01 18:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +100 $85 92¢ $92 +$6 09-19 11:18
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +80 $74 92¢ $74 +$0 09-19 11:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +100 $74 72¢ $72 -$2 11-01 18:56