Private-Achiever — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$48

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

254 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$403

$16.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$2.58K

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

46% 71% -$144

Politics

39% 78% +$564

Sports

14% 93% +$68

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-561	-$472	97¢	$-544	-$72	05-27 20:00
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	+413	$398	97¢	$400	+$2	10-21 16:48
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+288	$276	98¢	$281	+$5	10-10 06:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+198	$190	98¢	$195	+$4	09-20 07:22
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+150	$146	99¢	$149	+$2	10-21 16:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+150	$144	96¢	$143	-$1	11-01 19:03
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+150	$135	94¢	$142	+$7	09-19 11:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+130	$104	94¢	$122	+$18	09-15 00:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	+120	$100	96¢	$115	+$15	08-14 08:05
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	+100	$86	96¢	$96	+$10	09-19 11:19
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$95	96¢	$96	+$0	11-01 18:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+100	$85	88¢	$88	+$2	09-19 11:18
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	+80	$74	92¢	$73	$0	09-19 11:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+100	$74	70¢	$70	-$4	11-01 18:56
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+50	$40	76¢	$38	-$1	11-02 20:03
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+30	$28	92¢	$27	-$1	11-02 20:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	4	$813	426	426	+0	No	-$17	02-28 08:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3	$807	778	54	+724	No	+$26	05-27 20:01
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$587	605	0	+605	No	+$18	06-30 22:38
us evacuates baghdad embassy by january 31	3	$564	578	0	+578	No	+$14	01-29 18:36
Will the Liberals (L) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	19	$533	279	279	+0	No	+$24	09-06 00:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$472	0	561	-561	open	—	05-27 20:00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	3	$442	300	150	+150	open	—	10-21 16:39
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$409	410	0	+410	No	+$1	01-02 13:48
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$400	418	0	+418	No	+$18	03-17 17:06
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	6	$398	413	0	+413	open	—	10-21 16:48
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$386	400	0	+400	No	+$14	01-02 13:46
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$351	215	215	+0	open	—	07-16 08:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$321	252	122	+130	open	—	09-15 00:09
will cyprus record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 911	3	$321	324	0	+324	No	+$3	02-12 21:03
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	3	$313	360	0	+360	No	+$47	10-21 16:43
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	7	$305	272	272	+0	Yes	+$171	09-13 18:25
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	1	$300	310	0	+310	No	+$10	06-13 07:42
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$276	288	0	+288	open	—	10-10 06:26
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?	8	$251	320	205	+115	V	+$46	09-13 14:54
us strikes iraq by february 28	3	$250	268	0	+268	Yes	-$250	02-28 08:18
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$230	204	30	+174	Yes	+$4	01-25 09:01
Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	5	$229	232	58	+174	No	+$54	09-13 19:13
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or KD?	8	$226	365	0	+365	V	+$139	09-06 07:10
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	2	$210	216	0	+216	No	+$5	08-14 08:49
will kosovo record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 181	2	$208	210	0	+210	No	+$2	02-10 19:13
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	07-21 17:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	07-21 17:55
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	03-28 11:39
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$200	204	0	+204	No	+$4	08-14 07:44
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$200	204	0	+204	No	+$4	07-21 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 20:05:48	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x284d3d…
11-02 20:03:09	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x572772…
11-01 19:03:28	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xcc782f…
11-01 19:01:34	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xeec72f…
11-01 18:59:28	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xfc9546…
11-01 18:56:46	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x3f0b27…
10-28 20:07:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xc47547…
10-21 16:48:35	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x09135a…
10-21 16:43:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xdc8728…
10-21 16:39:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0xc1f618…
10-10 06:26:43	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	138	97¢	$134	0x800d73…
10-05 06:34:52	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x869b31…
10-03 15:14:24	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x020ffe…
10-03 15:13:47	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	70	80¢	$56	0x3aff47…
10-03 15:08:23	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xbde7a0…
09-20 07:22:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x78d7eb…
09-20 07:22:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x01b698…
09-20 07:21:22	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x54be41…
09-20 07:20:55	Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x3e9e0b…
09-20 07:20:46	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x3d804b…
09-19 16:52:15	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0x468a3f…
09-19 11:30:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x9d06f1…
09-19 11:27:23	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0xbcfee6…
09-19 11:23:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x54c4d0…
09-19 11:20:38	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x047849…
09-19 11:19:56	Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x27896d…
09-19 11:18:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x14a080…
09-19 11:17:32	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x40e8cd…
09-19 11:16:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	160	96¢	$154	0x37cd12…
09-19 11:15:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	85¢	$119	0x6434a2…
09-19 11:13:26	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0xf6376d…
09-19 11:12:03	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$128	0x24fdf2…
09-19 11:08:14	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0xa8dcb6…
09-15 00:09:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	130	87¢	$113	0x198538…
09-14 05:39:36	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	64	8¢	$5	0x285edb…
09-13 22:21:42	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x15c8ae…
09-13 22:19:25	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xe8a2fc…
09-13 22:18:40	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	SELL	74	10¢	$7	0x0c89fb…
09-13 22:18:34	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x41cf84…
09-13 22:17:00	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	No	SELL	120	60¢	$72	0x54ad1d…
09-13 22:10:13	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	SELL	58	35¢	$20	0x3556cd…
09-13 21:40:57	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x4adfe4…
09-13 21:29:21	Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x33a2ff…
09-13 21:21:58	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	70	85¢	$59	0x09f69a…
09-13 21:19:04	Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	205	0¢	$1	0x458cfc…
09-13 21:16:28	Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$2	0x1d2856…
09-13 21:02:03	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x71defe…
09-13 20:59:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xfca480…
09-13 20:59:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xdb3ff2…
09-13 20:59:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xc58659…
09-13 20:59:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x6bce82…
09-13 20:59:48	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$8	0x02161e…
09-13 20:59:13	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x347cf8…
09-13 20:52:54	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x91e85c…
09-13 20:46:57	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x912888…
09-13 20:33:39	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc92d32…
09-13 20:33:37	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x9dfbb5…
09-13 20:31:16	Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe91db9…
09-13 20:30:37	Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x81bfde…
09-13 20:28:51	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xadf20c…
09-13 20:28:51	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x762551…
09-13 20:26:00	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	187	1¢	$2	0xfeb696…
09-13 20:25:22	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x99c476…
09-13 20:22:10	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$2	0xbc330c…
09-13 20:19:09	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x49d3c1…
09-13 20:14:12	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa64289…
09-13 20:14:10	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x881cd6…
09-13 20:12:03	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x33eb6f…
09-13 20:11:58	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xab948a…
09-13 20:05:28	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x095036…
09-13 20:04:28	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd0515e…
09-13 20:03:00	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5c785f…
09-13 19:50:45	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?	MP	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0xe49641…
09-13 19:48:18	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0xcd946b…
09-13 19:43:40	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x41f4d0…
09-13 19:41:36	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?	MP	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xec55ce…
09-13 19:24:57	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x159788…
09-13 19:17:28	Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x3cb110…
09-13 19:13:30	Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xd5d3a2…
09-13 19:12:58	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	110	13¢	$14	0xf6e40f…
09-13 19:02:16	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x3cd8c9…
09-13 18:49:52	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%?	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xb410ec…
09-13 18:40:13	Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x7b078b…
09-13 18:39:51	Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	80	72¢	$57	0x319143…
09-13 18:25:45	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0x035838…
09-13 18:25:43	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	SELL	187	98¢	$184	0x2e0912…
09-13 16:52:39	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	BUY	39	86¢	$33	0xad2121…
09-13 16:50:03	Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x0d83cf…
09-13 14:54:31	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?	V	SELL	115	38¢	$44	0xab4ee0…
09-12 07:14:43	Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xca3f60…
09-11 15:50:52	GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x29df65…
09-11 15:48:39	GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd40ffa…
09-11 10:10:57	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?	V	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x851631…
09-10 14:33:19	Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xf68333…
09-07 07:05:07	Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$24	0x12a5b1…
09-06 07:18:00	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	77	90¢	$69	0x6da7ef…
09-06 07:16:06	Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xf69761…
09-06 07:15:39	Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0xbb6281…
09-06 07:10:12	Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or KD?	V	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa3faa7…
09-06 07:06:22	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 125-129 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x753edd…