Vapid-Vase 0xc83872…161263
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$207
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
215
Trades
1,530
lifetime
Volume
$8.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$905
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 06:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
66% 60% +$162
Other
27% 62% +$56
Crypto
4% 62% +$14
Sports
1% 50% -$17
Tech
1% 50% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +164 $109 74¢ $121 +$12 09-26 05:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +96 $55 92¢ $88 +$33 09-18 17:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +227 $115 34¢ $78 -$37 09-24 13:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +78 $55 74¢ $58 +$3 10-27 11:26
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +209 $60 28¢ $57 -$3 10-27 11:50
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +80 $55 64¢ $52 -$3 10-26 17:00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +91 $35 55¢ $50 +$15 09-27 05:41
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +56 $40 72¢ $40 +$0 10-27 06:27
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +107 $30 26¢ $27 -$3 09-28 19:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +30 $20 90¢ $27 +$7 10-06 13:12
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +33 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 10-04 09:19
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +20 $15 100¢ $20 +$5 05-30 11:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +276 $115 7¢ $19 -$96 10-15 07:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21 -$19 82¢ $-17 +$2 08-12 11:56
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +57 $20 30¢ $17 -$3 10-26 00:50
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +17 $13 98¢ $17 +$3 06-15 18:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +25 $15 66¢ $16 +$1 10-03 15:34
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +22 $15 68¢ $15 +$0 09-22 04:49
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +54 $15 29¢ $15 +$0 10-26 00:55
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +48 $15 32¢ $15 +$0 10-08 06:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +15 $10 96¢ $15 +$5 07-30 06:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -16 -$14 92¢ $-15 $0 10-24 08:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +31 $15 46¢ $14 -$1 10-27 11:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +16 $10 88¢ $14 +$4 09-26 03:51
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +30 $20 46¢ $14 -$6 09-17 21:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +19 $15 68¢ $13 -$2 10-05 06:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +13 $10 96¢ $13 +$3 10-05 20:20
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +14 $7 88¢ $12 +$6 05-01 13:43
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +17 $10 70¢ $12 +$2 10-26 01:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +20 $10 55¢ $11 +$1 06-11 07:50