Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
20.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
398
lifetime
Volume
$1.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$107
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 07-03 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-23
Other
26%
Crypto
8%
Sports
6% 100% +$2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +24 $15 100¢ $23 +$8 06-30 06:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +28 $15 74¢ $21 +$6 07-01 19:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +19 $15 100¢ $19 +$4 06-14 06:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +20 $10 54¢ $11 +$1 06-11 07:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 05-28 04:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 22:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 +$0 06-15 20:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 07-03 09:48
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 $-0 07-02 10:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +7 $5 30¢ $2 $-3 06-19 01:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +7 $5 26¢ $2 $-3 06-14 21:41