Grounded-Brother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

407

lifetime

Volume

$408

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-31 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

37% 50% $-0

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	29	$30	24	26	-2	open	—	02-18 01:42
Trump out as President by May 31?	13	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-13 07:51
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-11 06:53
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	10	$11	5	6	-1	open	—	06-15 07:43
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-21 04:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 08:23
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-15 04:40
Trump out as President by April 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 03:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	01-31 09:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-31 03:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:40
US military draft authorized in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 06:34
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-12 02:05
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-29 08:54
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	05-07 06:06
will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-31 03:49
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 07:00
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 04:41
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 07:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 03:36
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 07:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-26 08:57
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 07:55
will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 06:35
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 04:34
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:13
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:09
will russia enter borova by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-23 06:29
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 03:49:54	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x00ff59…
07-31 03:49:33	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc9cbec…
07-31 03:33:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x292b09…
07-31 03:33:00	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x401343…
07-30 07:00:23	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xacaef7…
07-30 06:59:44	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf35b79…
07-30 06:18:14	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x314a9b…
07-30 06:17:08	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5546bb…
07-29 08:54:53	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd42fc2…
07-29 08:54:12	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x806924…
07-28 06:20:36	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe425cb…
07-28 06:20:04	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf5306d…
07-28 03:58:58	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb5ef81…
07-28 03:57:57	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9e225…
07-27 10:02:21	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe5ee70…
07-27 09:39:48	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a3c1a…
07-25 07:35:22	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6f3cf8…
07-25 07:34:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfffc2f…
07-25 07:11:09	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xed1a9e…
07-25 07:09:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04bada…
07-24 09:02:24	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3f3f77…
07-24 09:01:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe23446…
07-24 08:35:28	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf1abd0…
07-24 08:34:12	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x530a10…
07-23 07:02:54	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xfae5c2…
07-23 07:02:10	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd39fa8…
07-23 06:40:06	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8180fc…
07-23 06:39:04	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf0f8c3…
07-22 10:26:13	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcd483d…
07-22 10:15:30	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0bd9f6…
07-21 04:54:39	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x406fa6…
07-21 03:44:15	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcb9fa0…
07-21 03:44:15	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x163824…
07-20 07:37:49	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x125a11…
07-20 07:37:21	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4ca470…
07-20 07:17:48	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b4854…
07-20 07:16:34	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa32e53…
07-18 06:35:33	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x947ad8…
07-18 06:34:43	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb0593b…
07-18 04:44:10	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8ba421…
07-18 04:43:24	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe7bf5b…
07-17 02:56:48	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6c4cf7…
07-17 02:56:22	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6f9045…
07-17 02:43:40	will perpl launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174007608	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x727d31…
07-17 02:42:57	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda9559…
07-16 02:09:46	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf28e93…
07-16 02:09:13	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x505c97…
07-16 01:59:20	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd8a532…
07-16 01:58:31	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x53bb53…
07-15 04:41:28	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaf9cbe…
07-15 04:40:52	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ba621…
07-15 04:24:53	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab1908…
07-15 04:23:14	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3264d3…
07-14 03:15:34	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc023d7…
07-14 03:15:05	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x79f5a9…
07-14 03:02:53	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf770bc…
07-14 03:01:49	KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe3699d…
07-13 07:49:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf0672e…
07-13 07:48:55	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe14d6b…
07-13 07:21:52	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x11f678…
07-13 07:21:08	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x47e695…
07-11 06:53:44	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9212de…
07-11 06:53:13	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc1f0a2…
07-11 06:29:17	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc221be…
07-11 06:27:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x846984…
07-10 04:36:58	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbaa754…
07-10 04:34:32	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcb447e…
07-10 03:32:46	will cxmt ipo by august 31 2026 20260629164309099	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x350e78…
07-10 03:32:04	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2f73af…
07-09 02:09:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7712f0…
07-09 02:09:02	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe1eb93…
07-09 02:00:37	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x136cbc…
07-09 01:59:31	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe6d238…
07-08 03:46:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x522ead…
07-08 03:26:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70acb6…
07-07 03:07:59	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9d865f…
07-07 03:07:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc956de…
07-07 02:53:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51cd33…
07-07 02:52:55	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf7695a…
07-06 06:08:29	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa3c717…
07-06 03:55:13	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x39c20e…
07-04 02:59:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x53c810…
07-04 02:59:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc3b3fc…
07-04 02:44:23	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1eae34…
07-04 02:43:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x75ba0b…
07-03 08:04:32	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3517fc…
07-03 08:04:05	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x742156…
07-03 07:53:37	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83768c…
07-03 07:52:28	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc1ce52…
07-02 04:23:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2324c0…
07-02 04:21:31	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf6a889…
07-02 04:10:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8656a8…
07-02 04:07:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf5f033…
07-01 02:30:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaa9d43…
07-01 02:14:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5438fc…
06-30 04:39:11	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0c0aa7…
06-30 04:38:19	will the announcers say emotion during the south africa vs canada fifa world cup match 20260626193058845	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x185053…
06-30 03:48:17	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa12f7c…
06-29 10:15:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa350c9…
06-29 10:15:26	will the ethereum volatility index hit 90 by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x561c74…