Competent-Fantasy 0xc8a5fb…c382bd Create alert
21W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$44
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved (90d)
45
Trades (90d)
151
486 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$17.1K
$41.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$2.94K
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 11-07 11:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
64% 89% +$26
Politics
24% 82% -$77
Tech
8% 100% +$26
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +594 $556 98¢ $584 +$28 10-27 13:00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +456 $439 98¢ $446 +$8 11-01 22:02
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -448 -$450 99¢ $-443 +$7 11-05 16:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +415 $397 98¢ $405 +$8 10-18 02:34
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No +410 $400 97¢ $400 $0 10-22 12:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +372 $363 98¢ $364 +$1 11-06 12:51
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +200 $196 98¢ $196 +$0 11-07 11:01
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$3 07-06 15:28
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -41 -$51 98¢ $-40 +$11 10-27 13:11
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -490 -$10 1¢ $-6 +$3 10-30 11:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4 $2 98¢ $4 +$2 10-22 12:29
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 10-16 17:40
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +83 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-06 13:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +13 $6 8¢ $1 -$5 08-16 07:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 -$1 07-14 07:28