Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$420

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

10 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-09 13:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

55% 83% +$0

Other

33% 50% +$0

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-4	$-4	94¢	$-4	$-0	06-04 07:14
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-29 14:38
Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	05-29 19:53
Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	05-31 15:31
Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	05-29 18:43
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	$-1	95¢	$-1	$-0	06-08 21:46
Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	$-0	05-30 00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	+1	$1	84¢	$1	$-0	06-08 01:27
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+1	$1	82¢	$1	$-0	06-04 11:49
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	+1	$1	57¢	$1	$-0	05-29 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	33	$63	35	35	+0	open	—	03-25 05:19
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	16	$32	19	19	+0	open	—	03-27 03:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-15 21:27
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	04-18 01:28
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 20:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-01 11:58
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-21 05:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-19 12:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	06-04 07:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 04:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	04-19 17:45
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-09 00:19
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	04-21 20:20
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-12 13:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-19 00:43
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	04-09 12:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 14:15
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 04:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 23:19
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 03:11
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 21:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 01:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 23:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 02:36
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 22:16
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 20:18
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 21:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 05:16
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-31 02:56
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:50:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbef1e9…
06-09 02:00:46	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8ce555…
06-08 22:29:28	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf7d1f0…
06-08 21:46:52	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe6804a…
06-08 01:27:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6f1979…
06-07 23:29:42	will betboom qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x06c794…
06-07 23:05:18	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x26255f…
06-05 22:19:10	will trump say surplus during wisconsin events 20260602174202002	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc8a6a…
06-05 21:35:18	will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x9241f6…
06-05 18:50:30	will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6afba4…
06-05 15:38:28	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 5	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x18660d…
06-05 10:47:37	will mouz reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9921b…
06-05 10:20:33	gta vi released before november 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa7ac75…
06-05 06:13:01	will the mongolz reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd63796…
06-04 12:39:00	gta vi released before november 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb0cba8…
06-04 11:49:16	Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb64914…
06-04 08:21:06	will donald trump publicly insult pope leo xiv by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1769b7…
06-04 07:14:58	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xf3ebb5…
06-04 06:06:42	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x78e9ca…
06-04 00:38:28	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x29058d…
06-03 21:58:18	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x46191e…
06-03 21:57:13	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xfc8393…
06-02 23:54:46	Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x67d564…
06-02 07:01:19	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0c993f…
06-02 05:23:52	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeb6aac…
06-02 05:18:05	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x897417…
06-02 04:08:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf6e87b…
06-02 03:34:56	Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x080c5c…
06-02 02:46:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1b6fa1…
06-01 19:12:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd21527…
06-01 18:45:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x050b93…
06-01 15:57:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x73fa56…
06-01 13:03:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb6a751…
06-01 11:58:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0xf26e07…
06-01 02:28:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4ad50c…
06-01 02:27:39	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x52c285…
05-31 15:31:45	Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8992e3…
05-31 13:46:52	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa529c1…
05-31 05:13:29	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfafdfa…
05-31 02:56:03	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf4487f…
05-31 01:40:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x38c38d…
05-30 22:04:19	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x636dc7…
05-30 21:51:47	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x40ebdf…
05-30 17:44:42	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in June 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x34c457…
05-30 16:00:52	Will MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc79036…
05-30 15:40:27	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb9d7e1…
05-30 14:51:50	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x0d2c0a…
05-30 09:38:30	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xba1d4a…
05-30 09:06:21	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd314e0…
05-30 07:52:55	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8fbb6f…
05-30 04:27:37	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xae5235…
05-30 04:27:24	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6e2ae4…
05-30 04:26:55	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x17f9fd…
05-30 03:24:58	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3f023b…
05-30 00:00:42	Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x205266…
05-29 20:09:56	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xecfb3c…
05-29 19:53:01	Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5cec38…
05-29 18:43:24	Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5d3b09…
05-29 14:38:38	Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaaa0be…
05-29 05:40:11	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc17329…
05-28 22:00:28	Trump on $250 bill this year?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x63de78…
05-28 20:32:25	Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8f9540…
05-28 19:55:36	Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x0e9b3d…
05-27 21:24:41	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6a4a7c…
05-27 21:16:12	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4dbb96…
05-25 01:58:00	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd0539c…
05-24 19:21:50	Will Bernie say "Stakeholder" in Maine?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6d2568…
05-24 14:05:59	Will Bernie say "Middle Class" or "Working Class" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x205f46…
05-23 17:11:46	Will Bernie say "Elon" or "Musk" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1ceb7e…
05-23 16:46:27	Will Bernie say "Restructure" in Maine?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd416a7…
05-23 08:47:28	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x187e62…
05-23 00:13:42	Will Bernie say "Nuclear" in Maine?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf18bf8…
05-22 20:56:29	Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfab9db…
05-22 15:49:04	Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5836cb…
05-22 04:27:33	Will Trump say "Peanut" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6838bc…
05-21 05:42:42	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x67168f…
05-19 20:06:10	Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x32b233…
05-19 01:39:48	Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2dbe72…
05-19 01:05:31	Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe7802f…
05-18 19:15:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xdf42c3…
05-18 00:38:37	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0233a8…
05-17 21:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x18ec85…
05-17 20:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x00a0c4…
05-17 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5cdb4…
05-17 18:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5f2d0d…
05-17 18:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x760da4…
05-16 22:00:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c65dc…
05-16 19:09:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbe1da4…
05-16 17:18:32	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x6f31f6…
05-16 14:06:51	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc2cfc…
05-15 18:22:55	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4e10b0…
05-15 18:10:14	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9ee244…
05-15 18:10:05	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7a5bc4…
05-15 13:49:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbe9bae…
05-15 11:36:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xea1af8…
05-15 04:03:45	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8ff07f…
05-15 03:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x66de6d…
05-15 03:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd7c496…
05-15 03:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x23c574…
05-15 03:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8b9b4e…