Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
356
Trades
614
lifetime
Volume
$673
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$19
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 09-22 06:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Politics
48% 78% +$9
Other
34% 81% +$1
Sports
9% 80% +$3
Crypto
5% 72% -$5
Pop-Culture
3% 64% $0
Tech
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -3 -$3 96¢ $-3 $0 06-04 07:14
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 07-31 18:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 -$2 82¢ $-2 $0 05-06 13:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-09 00:52
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 08-16 15:51
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-25 15:25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 08-02 00:46
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-15 16:19
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-16 17:03
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-12 23:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-04 05:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 09-15 17:39
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $0 09-04 06:36
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1 $1 67¢ $1 $0 09-19 14:45