Royal-Dogwood 0xce0cee…092945
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.84K
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
59.5%
Resolved
187
Trades
2,084
lifetime
Volume
$142.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$7.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 10-28 05:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Politics
54% 59% -$9,293
Other
42% 37% +$668
Tech
2% 40% -$104
Sports
1% 0% -$12
Crypto
1% 0% -$100
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +955 $690 72¢ $693 +$3 10-25 22:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +654 $450 70¢ $454 +$5 10-26 01:18
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +504 $411 86¢ $436 +$25 10-21 22:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +475 $371 85¢ $404 +$32 10-26 14:08
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +376 $253 88¢ $329 +$75 10-26 12:01
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +405 $316 80¢ $322 +$6 10-21 22:58
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +445 $298 69¢ $307 +$10 10-24 02:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +344 $316 89¢ $307 -$9 10-15 17:47
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +347 $236 84¢ $293 +$57 10-25 18:10
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +341 $271 80¢ $274 +$3 10-18 05:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +976 $320 28¢ $268 -$52 10-25 22:45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +420 $219 61¢ $258 +$39 10-19 08:33
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +273 $209 92¢ $253 +$43 10-23 20:15
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +303 $226 76¢ $232 +$6 10-23 11:49
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +281 $209 80¢ $223 +$15 10-27 22:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +356 $230 60¢ $212 -$18 10-20 19:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +689 $220 30¢ $210 -$10 10-26 00:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +259 $188 72¢ $185 -$3 10-25 23:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +275 $168 66¢ $180 +$12 10-27 09:06
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +420 $203 39¢ $162 -$40 10-19 14:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +356 $131 40¢ $144 +$13 10-21 22:58
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +445 $166 31¢ $138 -$28 10-24 00:54
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +174 $126 72¢ $125 $0 10-23 18:20
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +154 $86 59¢ $91 +$5 10-27 16:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +166 $84 52¢ $87 +$2 10-27 20:36
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +250 $98 34¢ $86 -$11 10-27 03:33
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +150 $88 56¢ $85 -$4 10-26 03:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +101 $88 84¢ $84 -$4 10-18 20:49
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +405 $87 20¢ $83 -$4 10-19 05:02
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +146 $84 56¢ $82 -$2 10-24 15:47