Realized P&L
-$65
Unrealized P&L
-$102
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
280
Trades
671
lifetime
Volume
$5.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$94
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-07 22:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 30% -$43
Politics
30% 17% -$5
Other
19% 23% -$46
Sports
2% 42% +$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +81 $35 16¢ $13 -$22 10-30 18:36
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? Yes +50 $33 21¢ $10 -$23 10-29 17:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +102 $10 9¢ $9 -$1 10-27 22:42
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%? Yes +346 $5 2¢ $7 +$2 10-26 18:16
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +182 $1 3¢ $6 +$5 10-27 16:34
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%? Yes +132 $8 3¢ $4 -$4 10-13 15:59
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +263 $5 2¢ $4 -$1 10-27 22:36
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? Yes +283 $20 1¢ $4 -$16 10-27 22:21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +56 $10 6¢ $3 -$7 10-27 22:18
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +214 $3 1¢ $3 +$0 10-27 22:34
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes +100 $5 3¢ $3 -$2 10-27 16:26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $3 1¢ $3 $0 10-27 22:37
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%? Yes +409 $4 1¢ $3 -$1 10-27 16:29
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? Yes +525 $1 0¢ $3 +$2 10-27 16:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -21 -$3 10¢ $-2 +$1 09-30 19:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +83 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-26 16:54
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +333 $2 1¢ $2 $0 10-27 22:32
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +96 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 09-16 18:22
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +85 $15 2¢ $1 -$14 10-29 17:39
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +59 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 10-29 04:11
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +50 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-14 15:52
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +111 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-27 22:35
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%? Yes +626 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-27 16:34
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes +86 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-26 16:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +11 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 10-26 16:55
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-27 22:32
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +125 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-27 22:34
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-27 22:33
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%? Yes +247 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-27 16:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +38 $2 2¢ $1 -$2 09-16 18:28