Pointed-Sitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.3%

Resolved

373

Trades

1,739

lifetime

Volume

$5.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-07 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Politics

51% 28% -$37

Other

43% 25% -$92

Tech

2% 0% -$18

Sports

1% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$8

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	24	$113	109	109	+0	No	-$1	05-06 22:47
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	20	$112	121	121	+0	Yes	-$1	05-06 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	20	$96	94	94	-0	No	$0	05-06 12:38
Iran leadership change by December 31?	16	$91	70	70	+0	open	—	05-06 21:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	24	$91	102	102	+0	Yes	-$2	05-01 18:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	18	$87	71	71	-0	Yes	$0	05-06 20:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	16	$80	74	74	+0	No	-$1	05-06 13:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	18	$80	61	61	+0	Yes	$0	05-06 20:32
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	16	$78	63	63	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 01:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	20	$77	79	79	+0	No	+$1	05-06 23:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	14	$76	56	56	+0	open	—	05-06 03:55
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	16	$73	84	84	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 20:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	14	$68	113	113	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 02:29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	21	$67	70	70	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 16:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	12	$60	54	54	+0	No	-$1	05-05 22:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	10	$55	45	45	+0	open	—	05-05 11:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	10	$53	76	76	+0	open	—	05-05 22:53
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	10	$53	45	45	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 02:45
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	14	$48	40	40	+0	No	-$1	04-11 17:14
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	10	$47	189	189	+0	No	+$6	04-30 17:08
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	13	$47	136	136	+0	Yes	-$5	04-29 15:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$46	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 23:18
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	12	$46	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	05-05 21:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	16	$45	40	40	+0	No	-$1	04-29 12:25
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	10	$45	34	34	+0	No	-$1	05-06 20:38
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	12	$42	42	42	+0	No	+$0	04-28 21:18
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	9	$42	32	32	-0	No	$0	05-05 05:01
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	8	$40	45	45	+0	No	-$2	05-04 01:58
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$38	32	32	+0	open	—	05-06 23:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	13	$38	276	276	+0	Yes	-$5	04-27 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 14:34:51	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xf1e302…
05-07 06:33:35	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xa13d73…
05-07 02:47:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x544a57…
05-07 02:47:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x12b386…
05-07 02:45:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xbf44a4…
05-07 02:29:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x614b02…
05-07 01:59:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0xaf608d…
05-07 01:52:26	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x818ecf…
05-07 00:50:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0x89e260…
05-07 00:35:30	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xa68e6a…
05-06 23:38:37	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xfe53df…
05-06 23:23:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x9ec687…
05-06 23:14:49	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x945c8f…
05-06 23:09:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xf0e083…
05-06 22:47:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x737d3c…
05-06 22:47:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x48dbf7…
05-06 22:31:59	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x60523d…
05-06 21:46:06	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xe3e1a6…
05-06 20:58:53	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xf5f9df…
05-06 20:43:43	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xf0bcb2…
05-06 20:38:08	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xa8176f…
05-06 20:32:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x7137d3…
05-06 20:30:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xbf0699…
05-06 20:28:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x1ada4d…
05-06 20:26:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x9dc9c6…
05-06 18:45:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe6e97b…
05-06 18:43:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xf2d12b…
05-06 18:39:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xb9cb6f…
05-06 18:26:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xb68d09…
05-06 18:22:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf8db23…
05-06 17:57:00	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x9a8ae7…
05-06 17:52:11	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6a91bb…
05-06 17:43:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xf0ae43…
05-06 16:50:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x27ab31…
05-06 16:33:15	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbfa6a7…
05-06 16:29:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xe71b2f…
05-06 15:48:13	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x4eb35a…
05-06 15:42:29	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x7e880b…
05-06 15:36:46	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x40d95e…
05-06 15:20:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0673d1…
05-06 15:14:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcb4f68…
05-06 15:08:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x5e4368…
05-06 14:52:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x024bdc…
05-06 14:45:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x041ef6…
05-06 14:45:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x684ad0…
05-06 14:33:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xd57f02…
05-06 14:30:59	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xea7e89…
05-06 14:30:59	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xa423af…
05-06 14:29:58	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x0bc99c…
05-06 13:54:42	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xf7af7a…
05-06 13:54:22	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	No	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x8f4615…
05-06 13:45:36	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x86ee48…
05-06 13:36:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x4fed1f…
05-06 13:14:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xa99084…
05-06 12:58:40	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x2d9388…
05-06 12:38:30	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x7217c3…
05-06 12:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xa44b51…
05-06 12:37:52	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8ff8c2…
05-06 12:34:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x01fe7f…
05-06 12:30:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xa62ade…
05-06 12:28:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x27ab3d…
05-06 12:26:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x27870c…
05-06 12:24:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x26f678…
05-06 10:24:36	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xffc497…
05-06 05:53:08	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x73246a…
05-06 05:46:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x8b17b6…
05-06 04:53:14	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x0b35d0…
05-06 04:24:58	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0x470011…
05-06 04:22:40	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0xb9c143…
05-06 04:14:46	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x8e0f90…
05-06 04:10:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x4a873f…
05-06 04:03:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x96e033…
05-06 03:55:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x443c6e…
05-06 02:47:50	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	16	34¢	$6	0x2d69de…
05-06 02:23:10	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x7b2cf5…
05-06 01:45:58	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0x02c674…
05-06 01:22:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x203abb…
05-06 00:18:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xff2e54…
05-05 23:35:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x77131a…
05-05 23:13:06	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x3b40f9…
05-05 22:55:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xf3005d…
05-05 22:53:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x89c71e…
05-05 22:01:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x0025de…
05-05 21:54:44	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x2d2909…
05-05 21:46:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x92a23f…
05-05 21:34:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xf8bef1…
05-05 21:31:16	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$6	0x85f360…
05-05 21:20:08	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb24558…
05-05 21:07:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x2a87cf…
05-05 20:56:04	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x95b2cb…
05-05 20:34:34	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xa2752c…
05-05 20:27:40	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xf36dd0…
05-05 20:23:24	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x2bbd2e…
05-05 20:22:38	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x9cd68f…
05-05 20:10:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xb729f7…
05-05 20:10:20	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x487e86…
05-05 20:04:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0xb69453…
05-05 19:57:52	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x7ab935…
05-05 19:55:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x11ee9f…
05-05 19:55:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x15751d…