Muffled-Mesenchyme 0xd3a721…4ec2dc
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
12.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
712
lifetime
Volume
$2.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$108
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-28 22:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
44% 0% $-10
Politics
29% 33% $-24
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
11% — —
Tech
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +32 $12 100¢ $32 +$20 06-15 11:36
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 -157 $-16 17¢ $-27 $-11 06-14 18:03
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -48 $-13 24¢ $-12 +$1 06-14 18:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -45 $-13 22¢ $-10 +$4 06-14 18:03
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +17 $7 46¢ $8 +$1 06-19 10:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -38 $1 9¢ $-3 $-5 06-14 18:04
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +25 $2 7¢ $2 $-0 06-02 05:47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 17:06
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 15:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-24 16:38
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 14:48
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 17:00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 02:52
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-02 17:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-28 18:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 21:46
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-14 18:28
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-22 04:53
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -1 $-1 52¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 17:00
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 38¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 17:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -1 $-1 46¢ $-1 +$0 06-19 12:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -2 $-1 30¢ $-0 +$0 06-19 13:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 18¢ $-0 +$0 05-29 21:44