Muffled-Mesenchyme 0xd3a721…4ec2dc
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Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
12.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
524
lifetime
Volume
$2.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$55
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-08 16:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
47% 0% $-10
Politics
29% 33% $-24
Sports
12% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +64 $17 14¢ $9 $-8 06-05 03:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +45 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 06-05 05:15
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +9 $4 46¢ $4 +$0 06-07 22:37
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +68 $7 5¢ $3 $-3 06-06 08:38
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 06-01 20:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $4 22¢ $3 $-2 06-06 00:25
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 06-02 20:54
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +29 $2 9¢ $3 +$1 06-08 16:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +3 $2 76¢ $3 +$1 06-03 22:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-30 05:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 17:06
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 06-07 01:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 06-06 17:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-07 07:58
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-02 17:30
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 17:00
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 06-06 17:44
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -1 $-1 72¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 17:00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-07 12:31
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-02 17:29
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $1 76¢ $1 $-0 06-02 17:28
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-02 17:30
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 21:46
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $-0 06-06 17:44
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-02 17:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 02:52
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes -1 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 15:49
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 06-04 22:42
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -1 $-1 60¢ $-1 $-0 06-02 17:00
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 76¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 14:48