Muffled-Mesenchyme 0xd3a721…4ec2dc
bot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$79
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
255
Trades
1,006
lifetime
Volume
$3.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$82
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 08-23 11:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
46% 47% +$27
Politics
29% 46% -$110
Sports
10% 57% -$7
Crypto
9% 38% +$24
Tech
6% 47% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -45 -$13 90¢ $-40 -$27 06-14 18:03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -38 $1 91¢ $-34 -$35 06-14 18:04
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes -12 -$5 13¢ $-2 +$4 04-29 17:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-28 18:55
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-14 18:28
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 06-02 17:30
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -20 -$9 4¢ $-1 +$8 06-14 18:04
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $0 06-21 18:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1 $1 64¢ $1 $0 06-27 02:50
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 -$8 5¢ $-1 +$8 04-29 17:15
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-14 23:22