Gifted-Hero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.33K

Unrealized P&L

-$674

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

192

Trades

1,791

lifetime

Volume

$288.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

$10.0K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 21:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Politics

49% 85% +$11,195

Crypto

26% 94% +$1,024

Other

21% 72% -$4,979

Sports

4% 45% +$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-5,500	-$4,740	96¢	$-5288	-$548	06-10 22:58
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+1,000	$980	98¢	$980	+$0	10-27 21:38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1,000	$958	96¢	$959	+$1	10-27 14:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1,000	$874	88¢	$881	+$7	10-27 07:05
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	-5,000	-$550	14¢	$-675	-$125	09-26 12:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-10,000	-$600	6¢	$-650	-$50	10-13 21:00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+500	$480	96¢	$478	-$2	10-27 13:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,000	$119	12¢	$120	+$0	10-27 20:35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	+0	-$6	100¢	$0	+$6	10-06 02:52
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	+0	-$37	100¢	$0	+$37	10-07 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	46	$15.4K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$76	03-04 12:35
will germany strike iran by march 31	63	$11.6K	5,586	7,534	-1,948	No	+$67	03-03 00:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	29	$10.5K	6,040	6,040	+0	No	+$840	03-01 16:21
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	46	$8.9K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$453	03-08 05:22
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	17	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	10-06 07:03
Iran leadership change by April 30?	46	$5.3K	10,000	2,944	+7,056	No	-$2,447	03-21 20:02
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	37	$5.3K	2,788	2,787	+0	No	+$145	09-26 11:06
will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	12	$5.1K	2,856	2,445	+411	No	+$57	09-28 18:02
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	40	$4.9K	2,485	2,485	+0	open	—	10-06 07:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	5	$4.7K	0	5,500	-5,500	open	—	06-10 22:58
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	22	$4.6K	4,200	748	+3,452	No	+$311	01-25 16:37
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 140 159	33	$4.1K	2,415	1,916	+499	No	+$129	03-09 20:36
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	75	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-06 02:52
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	15	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$72	01-29 20:21
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	9	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$8	03-16 11:13
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	26	$3.8K	14,874	0	+14,874	Yes	-$3,785	01-26 20:42
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)	17	$3.8K	4,500	2,000	+2,500	Raul Rosas Jr.	+$1,019	09-26 12:29
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 60 79	31	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$32	03-23 14:09
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	17	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-02 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$60	03-12 12:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$1	03-29 21:31
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 120 139	13	$3.5K	4,021	0	+4,021	No	+$566	03-02 19:30
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	7	$3.4K	2,239	1,239	+1,000	open	—	10-17 21:55
will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	6	$3.4K	1,713	1,713	+0	No	+$29	09-26 12:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	16	$3.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$356	09-25 07:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:30 UTC	34	$3.1K	2,441	999	+1,442	Down	-$835	03-08 11:35
donald trump of truth social posts march 6 march 13 20 39	5	$3.0K	1,533	1,533	+0	No	+$39	03-09 19:59
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	11	$3.0K	3,236	0	+3,236	No	+$239	01-29 21:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$2.9K	1,000	2,000	-1,000	No	+$46	01-29 06:30
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 200plus	3	$2.9K	2,865	0	+2,865	Yes	+$5	03-06 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:38:30	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x7a4b29…
10-27 21:38:24	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x62d4a7…
10-27 21:38:20	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8ed3c4…
10-27 21:38:15	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x721c92…
10-27 21:38:06	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x561a5f…
10-27 21:37:57	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0d34d7…
10-27 21:37:53	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x98d71b…
10-27 21:37:48	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd7c130…
10-27 21:37:44	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x3e0bf8…
10-27 21:34:11	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x17c618…
10-27 21:34:06	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0ff8c1…
10-27 21:33:57	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf4b6a4…
10-27 21:33:44	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa23df8…
10-27 21:33:12	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb60f45…
10-27 21:33:08	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc59c2a…
10-27 21:33:03	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcc59ac…
10-27 21:32:59	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x755b7b…
10-27 21:32:56	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x20596d…
10-27 21:32:42	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6fcaa7…
10-27 21:32:27	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xedcc37…
10-27 21:32:24	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x0e9245…
10-27 20:35:45	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	591	12¢	$70	0x88e0c6…
10-27 19:47:17	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	409	12¢	$49	0xc449c8…
10-27 14:37:09	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	917	96¢	$878	0x4197f8…
10-27 13:11:23	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xe8ae69…
10-27 09:12:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x6786eb…
10-27 07:05:59	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$874	0x136bc4…
10-24 19:00:06	Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Anthony Joshua	Fury	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xbcdc52…
10-24 16:17:11	Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Anthony Joshua	Fury	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4ec5be…
10-17 21:55:24	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x1a965d…
10-17 14:49:44	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x6432b8…
10-16 02:53:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	144	98¢	$141	0x63c4d9…
10-16 01:45:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x095447…
10-16 00:20:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xd3b3d3…
10-16 00:09:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x305428…
10-15 17:51:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	279	97¢	$270	0x7300c1…
10-15 00:28:26	ufc ale22 riz 2026 10 24	Alexander Volkov	BUY	886	56¢	$496	0x110e12…
10-15 00:28:23	ufc ale22 riz 2026 10 24	Alexander Volkov	BUY	114	56¢	$64	0x047d9d…
10-13 21:00:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,955	6¢	$237	0x346b3a…
10-13 18:21:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x43273a…
10-13 15:53:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x7b94b8…
10-13 15:40:48	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf7279c…
10-13 15:34:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x11cae8…
10-13 14:21:55	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	28	48¢	$13	0x3022e0…
10-13 13:41:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	68	6¢	$4	0x73c910…
10-13 13:13:59	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0x8314ba…
10-13 12:45:29	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x148271…
10-13 11:40:43	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	949	48¢	$456	0xecc0ac…
10-13 11:39:32	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	459	38¢	$174	0xe28956…
10-13 09:02:41	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	103	38¢	$39	0x8d5640…
10-13 08:45:11	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	503	6¢	$30	0x51b97f…
10-13 08:27:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,667	6¢	$100	0x23aa2d…
10-13 08:08:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x5cdd7a…
10-13 07:28:05	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x3b7ff8…
10-13 06:17:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	82	6¢	$5	0xd3abd4…
10-13 06:02:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x691f1b…
10-13 05:30:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x4749a7…
10-13 04:46:17	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x233f4a…
10-13 03:57:59	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xf5659b…
10-13 03:27:35	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	98	6¢	$6	0xc7259c…
10-13 02:56:29	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	255	38¢	$97	0xffe02b…
10-12 23:55:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x1d51da…
10-12 23:22:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x2b8635…
10-12 21:28:47	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x6cf522…
10-12 20:05:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x76d1fc…
10-12 19:14:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xbde83e…
10-12 19:13:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x394146…
10-12 19:12:26	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	102	38¢	$39	0x0ce49d…
10-12 18:32:59	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x22f49f…
10-12 14:44:54	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	81	38¢	$31	0x91b3f1…
10-12 13:03:26	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x32b9ca…
10-12 11:12:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x4aa9fa…
10-12 10:24:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0x24e2ba…
10-12 10:01:08	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,560	6¢	$94	0x9b3572…
10-12 09:41:08	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	141	6¢	$8	0x3019cb…
10-12 09:07:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xb80f17…
10-12 08:48:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	424	6¢	$25	0x45023a…
10-12 07:04:46	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xedee7d…
10-12 06:29:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x0e39c4…
10-12 04:50:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xa670f5…
10-11 22:20:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	112	6¢	$7	0x586e49…
10-11 20:55:41	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x552a09…
10-11 19:15:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x4066f5…
10-11 17:40:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xaa72a7…
10-11 16:47:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	167	6¢	$10	0x580eb1…
10-11 15:12:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x4ea8e8…
10-11 12:43:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xf4ef53…
10-11 10:02:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xfcaec9…
10-11 09:25:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	6¢	$3	0x18f49b…
10-10 21:19:45	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	No	SELL	239	99¢	$237	0x058348…
10-10 05:53:03	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0xf3a1ad…
10-10 03:03:47	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	No	BUY	239	97¢	$232	0x4d0d62…
10-09 03:58:04	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x9f6e08…
10-07 15:11:11	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	696	95¢	$661	0xb7df9b…
10-07 15:09:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xd07c3f…
10-07 14:01:41	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x1c8e6a…
10-07 10:07:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	159	97¢	$155	0xcf1054…
10-07 10:07:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	172	97¢	$168	0x443828…
10-07 10:07:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	172	97¢	$168	0x3ea423…
10-07 10:07:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	172	97¢	$168	0x60826b…