Realized P&L
-$52
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
46.9%
Resolved
161
Trades
1,066
lifetime
Volume
$6.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$59
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-30 04:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
42% 36% $-26
Other
25% 48% $-26
Politics
17%
Crypto
15%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 +$1 06-16 08:53
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-6 55¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 23:46
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +16 $6 32¢ $5 $-1 06-22 20:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 99¢ $-5 $-1 06-16 18:03
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 06-29 11:14
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +14 $4 33¢ $5 +$0 06-13 23:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 05-29 15:16
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 15:32
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +25 $6 11¢ $3 $-3 06-07 21:03
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4 $2 65¢ $2 +$0 06-24 11:54
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$1 06-24 19:50
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$1 06-04 01:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 07:09
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-24 04:00
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-16 21:42
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 05-29 11:25
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-27 11:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 78¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 22:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 16:14
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +23 $3 $1 $-3 06-10 22:33
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 06-24 04:00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +77 $1 $0 $-0 06-21 21:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +38 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 12:09
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -11 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-13 01:54