Novel-Carbohydrate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$930

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-27 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% 0% $-40

Other

26% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	02-17 12:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$50	43	43	+0	open	—	04-12 03:30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	4	$48	33	33	+0	open	—	04-08 01:13
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	7	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	04-10 02:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	04-30 07:40
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-30 07:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-27 14:48
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$29	41	0	+41	open	—	02-05 08:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$25	33	0	+33	Yes	$-25	02-17 12:40
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	4	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	04-09 02:43
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-27 14:49
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	3	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-22 00:51
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	03-14 22:58
will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 03:44
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-03 06:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-27 14:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-27 14:49
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-18 05:52
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	4	$20	63	0	+63	open	—	04-08 18:24
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-09 13:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	3	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-30 07:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	$-15	05-02 03:55
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	4	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 02:38
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-08 02:13
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-30 07:38
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	03-09 09:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-08 01:14
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	3	$10	9	6	+3	open	—	03-29 16:56
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-15 11:59
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	02-05 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 14:50:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x520f01…
05-27 14:49:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xf7ae8d…
05-27 14:49:17	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x4464f6…
05-27 14:49:08	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb76962…
05-27 14:48:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x89674a…
05-02 03:58:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x9946ef…
05-02 03:57:40	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7abb7a…
05-02 03:55:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0bb393…
04-30 07:40:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdf1734…
04-30 07:40:12	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ee693…
04-30 07:39:20	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0dce0…
04-30 07:38:32	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe3db14…
04-30 07:38:00	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb18de0…
04-12 03:30:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0x62a15b…
04-10 11:41:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xadedbb…
04-10 11:38:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbce05a…
04-10 02:28:45	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x500e6b…
04-09 02:43:17	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x057f3a…
04-09 02:42:59	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xa12d8b…
04-08 18:24:21	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x13c8e1…
04-08 18:24:09	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xed5a63…
04-08 18:23:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0b6720…
04-08 18:22:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x14e702…
04-08 18:21:01	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x988640…
04-08 15:39:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4ec190…
04-08 14:59:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbad171…
04-08 14:58:55	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x401b27…
04-08 14:58:33	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa1491b…
04-08 14:57:39	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc5721f…
04-08 05:05:47	highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6afd54…
04-08 02:13:47	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2f7773…
04-08 02:13:31	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6d1056…
04-08 01:22:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9baf9f…
04-08 01:14:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7c4b1e…
04-08 01:13:29	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x991084…
04-07 17:49:11	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x34891f…
04-06 18:26:39	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x22cccc…
04-06 04:49:15	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5e4569…
04-06 04:48:07	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x688652…
04-06 04:44:59	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9461b2…
04-05 18:05:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc8e00a…
04-05 18:04:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd5d98d…
04-05 18:04:37	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9705f4…
04-05 18:03:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x92d192…
04-04 03:11:11	will ethereum dip to 1700 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x749935…
04-04 03:10:55	will ethereum reach 2200 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x642338…
04-04 03:10:39	will ethereum reach 2300 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c5241…
04-04 01:44:47	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfdc984…
04-04 01:44:45	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa271ac…
04-04 01:44:05	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9bb5b7…
04-04 01:43:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf7cbc7…
04-04 01:43:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x759beb…
04-03 13:57:15	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8b5214…
04-03 12:24:33	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5d698…
04-03 06:42:45	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4c2dc2…
04-03 06:41:27	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2ad8cb…
04-02 12:02:25	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83e29c…
04-02 12:01:11	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ea85d…
04-02 12:00:27	highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb7e93b…
04-02 09:29:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x359374…
04-02 07:57:23	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x254b00…
04-02 07:51:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x656a42…
04-02 07:50:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x33f9b1…
04-02 07:50:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6d8825…
04-02 07:48:57	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x25df2e…
04-02 07:44:05	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa1b5ef…
04-02 07:43:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7faf2a…
04-02 07:40:05	Will Trump name "Netanyahu" in April?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf470b0…
04-02 07:39:31	Will Trump name "Viktor" or "Orbán" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd8a795…
04-02 07:38:13	Will Trump say "Alien Dot Gov" or "Aliens Dot Gov" in April?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x51d90e…
04-02 07:37:51	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf63f4e…
04-02 07:34:37	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ff37f…
04-02 05:53:09	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd67713…
04-02 05:51:59	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc665a9…
04-02 05:47:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe59451…
04-02 05:45:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x434f83…
04-02 02:09:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xda5e4e…
04-01 15:27:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 5	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9be415…
04-01 15:27:11	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa11d4…
04-01 15:24:07	will people be said 100 times during the first episode of the joe rogan experience for the week april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4aec6d…
04-01 13:40:23	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xe56138…
04-01 13:38:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdf26ca…
04-01 13:37:21	Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" in April?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6778e1…
04-01 13:35:59	Will Trump say "Jesus" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe5d0d8…
04-01 11:38:01	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2cd383…
04-01 11:37:47	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xb59762…
04-01 11:37:37	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9fec9c…
03-31 17:26:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x439c42…
03-31 17:26:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xea186c…
03-31 16:38:07	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe325ed…
03-29 16:56:32	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x015a37…
03-29 03:49:18	military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5f4be3…
03-29 03:48:58	military action against iran ends by march 30 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd0c432…
03-29 03:48:34	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x424d6f…
03-29 03:48:28	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x79e2f7…
03-29 03:44:58	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe6b27a…
03-28 08:13:15	military action against iran ends by march 29 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4dd3ff…
03-27 01:50:51	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa741ac…
03-27 01:49:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x547b33…
03-25 02:38:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xf69d6f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	75	$355.9K	27,357	06-01 00:29
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	68	$16.8M	22,668	06-01 01:51
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	68	$30.4K	6,720	05-06 09:41
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	64	$911.1K	13,616	05-31 18:19
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	63	$126.1K	1,031	05-30 21:18
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	63	$76.8K	7,600	03-28 08:52
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	63	$35.9K	3,827	05-30 04:42
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	59	$42.0K	996	05-29 15:15