(anonymous) 0xe3ef95…50960b
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8,133
lifetime
Volume
$48.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$119
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-30 12:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52% — —
Politics
48% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +35 $41 94¢ $33 $-9 06-30 14:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -24 $-21 100¢ $-24 $-3 06-08 13:53
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +20 $22 96¢ $19 $-2 06-30 12:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +17 $25 95¢ $16 $-9 06-30 14:08
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -11 $-10 95¢ $-11 $-0 06-30 03:31
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 $-0 06-02 01:41
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-15 03:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -2 $-1 100¢ $-2 $-1 06-14 21:28
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-1 06-30 14:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-1 06-27 17:26
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $-0 06-10 09:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-23 03:28
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-29 16:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-24 22:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -0 $0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-14 19:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-27 05:26
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-04 08:58
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-15 03:21
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-28 23:18
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-29 18:44
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-19 19:09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-12 14:07
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 06-29 05:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-18 04:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-19 03:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-03 04:31
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-13 02:25