Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
3,040
lifetime
Volume
$21.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$143
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-09 18:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61%
Politics
39%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +60 $59 93¢ $56 $-3 06-09 23:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -24 $-21 98¢ $-23 $-3 06-08 13:53
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +24 $24 95¢ $23 $-1 06-09 19:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +15 $17 94¢ $14 $-3 06-09 21:47
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No -8 $-8 98¢ $-8 +$0 06-02 01:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -7 $-7 97¢ $-7 $-0 06-09 20:36
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +6 $7 98¢ $6 $-0 06-09 01:26
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $-0 06-09 22:16
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-09 17:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-09 03:55
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-04 08:58
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-08 22:34
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-09 16:52
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-08 04:12
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-07 01:58
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-09 00:11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $-0 06-03 04:31
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-06 20:16