Ready-Configuration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

90.4%

Resolved

129

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$73

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-08 07:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 54% -$3

Other

24% 74% -$16

Politics

8% 75% +$19

Sports

4% 71% -$4

Tech

3% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	+24	$15	76¢	$18	+$3	08-08 07:32
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+16	$15	97¢	$15	+$0	08-08 07:33
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	08-08 07:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	+$0	04-28 20:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+6	$5	97¢	$6	+$1	08-08 07:39
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	08-08 07:34
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	94¢	$5	+$0	08-08 07:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+7	$5	53¢	$4	-$1	08-08 07:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	+5	$5	40¢	$2	-$3	08-08 07:26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	+6	$2	13¢	$1	-$1	06-06 08:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 25	2	$394	197	197	+0	Yes	+$0	01-25 16:48
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	1	$197	199	0	+199	No	+$2	01-26 01:50
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	1	$181	181	0	+181	Yes	+$0	02-28 15:48
bitcoin above 64k on february 27	1	$180	181	0	+181	Yes	+$1	02-27 15:50
bitcoin above 60k on february 24	1	$179	180	0	+180	Yes	+$1	02-24 14:54
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 14	2	$70	47	24	+24	No	$0	04-14 20:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$46	40	30	+10	Yes	+$7	04-11 09:48
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	07-09 15:43
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	07-09 15:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 19:42
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	07-09 15:40
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	08-08 07:37
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	04-07 17:14
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-28 19:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$1	06-06 08:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 9?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-09 18:42
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-09 15:43
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	04-07 17:23
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-06 08:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	2	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	+$4	04-07 17:25
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	08-08 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	+$5	07-09 15:41
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$15	26	0	+26	No	-$15	07-09 15:42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	08-08 07:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	05-02 08:09
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	06-06 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?	1	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	+$2	05-02 08:15
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	04-16 15:03
amzn above 210 on april 17 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	08-08 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 07:42:28	itf dorofee paganet 2026 08 08	Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc7e38d…
08-08 07:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0cf393…
08-08 07:41:06	will spcx reach 135 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x811171…
08-08 07:40:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd8002a…
08-08 07:39:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3c934a…
08-08 07:39:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbbd01a…
08-08 07:39:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x33b73a…
08-08 07:37:55	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x75d7bc…
08-08 07:36:58	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x48a19f…
08-08 07:35:16	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9aaaa9…
08-08 07:34:34	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x542f20…
08-08 07:33:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x31a56a…
08-08 07:32:40	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x695db9…
08-08 07:28:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9e3b72…
08-08 07:27:54	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x791e15…
08-08 07:27:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3b1a6e…
08-08 07:26:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7cdaaa…
08-08 07:25:04	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x827c28…
07-09 15:45:34	dota2 hive1 stx 2026 07 09	Team Syntax	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xd2a8e3…
07-09 15:43:58	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdf9d4a…
07-09 15:43:41	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x70feb0…
07-09 15:43:16	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4e1b2f…
07-09 15:42:47	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9c033f…
07-09 15:42:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xb685d8…
07-09 15:42:11	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x529b24…
07-09 15:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd227b4…
07-09 15:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd39e19…
07-09 15:40:31	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0x1af586…
06-06 08:09:09	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe9bb11…
06-06 08:08:46	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x488858…
06-06 08:08:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfd6525…
06-06 08:07:34	nvda up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x46a975…
06-06 08:07:24	googl up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5d81a5…
06-06 08:06:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf323d7…
06-06 08:06:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2a79c8…
06-06 08:06:00	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5d359d…
06-06 08:05:46	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x16ac8f…
06-06 08:05:21	Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5f6724…
06-06 08:05:12	Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5eb3fd…
06-06 08:04:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc4ed24…
06-06 08:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x464738…
06-06 08:04:00	Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa001f9…
05-09 18:42:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1b96e8…
05-09 18:40:40	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x883afa…
05-09 18:40:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa81de8…
05-09 18:39:28	Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4f9b6b…
05-09 18:38:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner	Jannik Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3715f9…
05-09 18:38:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe92fe6…
05-09 18:38:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x255daf…
05-09 18:37:41	Will Trump say "Train" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ec784…
05-09 18:37:24	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf19176…
05-09 18:36:33	Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x94d5f9…
05-09 18:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2132a1…
05-09 18:35:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbb9525…
05-09 18:35:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9955dd…
05-09 18:34:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe1be7a…
05-09 18:34:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x6df745…
05-09 18:33:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x49ef31…
05-09 18:33:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd7ba29…
05-09 18:33:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x24e0a4…
05-09 18:31:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1f409e…
05-02 08:21:04	LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9b7cc5…
05-02 08:20:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4a9815…
05-02 08:20:30	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xce7ce1…
05-02 08:20:18	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbd39ce…
05-02 08:19:50	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1763b6…
05-02 08:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x46d762…
05-02 08:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b196e…
05-02 08:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x68ce31…
05-02 08:14:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd81dc3…
05-02 08:14:30	T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	Bangladesh	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x73dc3d…
05-02 08:13:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeb58e8…
05-02 08:09:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x773420…
05-02 08:09:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xbc3f77…
04-28 20:01:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x7d2915…
04-28 20:00:14	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa28ebb…
04-28 19:59:52	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaca804…
04-28 19:59:38	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8f3527…
04-28 19:59:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x276539…
04-28 19:57:54	Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4a3da4…
04-28 19:56:56	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x83758f…
04-28 19:56:26	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4bfdf7…
04-28 19:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc5fbb2…
04-28 19:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf900e6…
04-28 19:55:04	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x348aa7…
04-28 19:54:52	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6e9ec6…
04-28 19:54:42	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x88ae6e…
04-28 19:54:30	Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xf374ce…
04-28 19:54:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb7f26b…
04-28 19:53:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x661047…
04-20 19:47:20	hok gam box 2026 04 21	GAM Esports	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1f01af…
04-20 19:47:10	dota2 ivo winter 2026 04 20	Ivory	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7ae2d1…
04-20 19:47:02	cs2 aab sng 2026 04 21	AaB Esport	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x055048…
04-20 19:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x76cde8…
04-20 19:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6fe0c8…
04-20 19:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x2b18e0…
04-20 19:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1cc883…
04-20 19:42:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xccb166…
04-19 08:28:34	will trump say gay for palestine this week april 19	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3f9e88…
04-19 08:28:24	will trump say no no no this week april 19	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb7ec05…