Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved
20
Trades
46
lifetime
Volume
$563
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$384
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-21 02:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
62% 86% +$1
Other
35% 88% -$3
Crypto
3% 60% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -271 -$252 97¢ $-263 -$11 09-15 06:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -32 -$31 98¢ $-31 -$1 09-15 06:46
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 10-21 02:05
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$11 96¢ $-11 $0 09-15 06:46
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -11 -$10 98¢ $-11 $0 07-17 01:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -9 -$9 97¢ $-9 $0 08-28 02:02
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -7 -$7 98¢ $-7 $0 07-17 01:58
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -6 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 10-09 01:50
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 10-21 02:05
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 +$0 10-21 02:04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 08-28 02:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 10-21 02:04
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 08-28 02:04