(anonymous) 0xe69467…a43771
cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$90
Hit rate
26.0%
Resolved
30
Trades
951
lifetime
Volume
$55.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$52.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 19:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
71% — —
Other
19% — —
Sports
10% 37% -$1,289
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +16,495 $14,776 86¢ $14.2K -$532 10-09 05:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +4,917 $4,724 98¢ $4.8K +$112 10-18 21:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,564 $4,279 94¢ $4.3K +$34 10-20 12:03
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +4,306 $3,962 92¢ $3.9K -$23 10-08 17:02
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3,489 $3,368 96¢ $3.4K -$7 10-20 01:00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,334 $2,602 94¢ $3.1K +$531 09-17 10:48
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +16,495 $1,762 14¢ $2.3K +$489 10-09 10:19
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,780 $1,669 96¢ $1.7K +$44 09-20 05:15
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,668 $1,616 96¢ $1.6K -$8 10-26 18:04
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,633 $1,550 95¢ $1.6K +$0 10-23 02:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,523 $1,328 87¢ $1.3K -$2 10-26 17:46
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,275 $1,186 94¢ $1.2K +$19 10-25 23:02
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,094 $1,070 97¢ $1.1K -$7 10-08 14:43
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,125 $1,087 94¢ $1.1K -$28 09-20 19:50
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +830 $772 94¢ $776 +$4 10-26 16:06
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +835 $765 92¢ $772 +$7 09-20 16:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +759 $649 86¢ $657 +$7 09-20 19:43
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +668 $594 90¢ $597 +$3 10-26 16:05
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +528 $513 98¢ $515 +$1 10-20 18:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +500 $470 94¢ $472 +$2 10-22 07:52
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +488 $459 95¢ $464 +$5 09-30 14:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +465 $449 97¢ $450 +$0 10-18 12:25
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,306 $335 8¢ $366 +$31 10-19 19:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +393 $298 74¢ $289 -$10 09-16 21:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,564 $295 6¢ $251 -$44 10-18 23:22
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +239 $234 99¢ $236 +$2 09-30 18:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +254 $226 88¢ $222 -$4 09-19 10:41
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +232 $223 96¢ $222 -$1 09-18 14:01
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +3,334 $740 6¢ $202 -$539 09-17 12:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,347 $172 13¢ $174 +$1 10-26 19:39