(anonymous) 0xe69467…a43771 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$125
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
688
1,339 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$38.8K
$76.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$59.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-07 18:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$4
Other
14% 0% -$8
Sports
13% 37% -$1,289
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +16,495 $14,776 85¢ $14.0K -$730 10-09 05:41
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9,286 $8,611 88¢ $8.1K -$462 11-06 04:57
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,760 $5,062 86¢ $5.0K -$80 11-07 15:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,564 $4,279 97¢ $4.4K +$157 10-20 12:03
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3,489 $3,368 97¢ $3.4K +$2 10-20 01:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3,358 $3,143 97¢ $3.2K +$106 11-06 13:23
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,175 $2,970 92¢ $2.9K -$33 11-04 17:05
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +16,495 $1,762 15¢ $2.4K +$687 10-09 10:19
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,173 $2,034 94¢ $2.0K +$0 11-04 05:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,250 $1,962 88¢ $2.0K +$17 10-30 03:52
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,780 $1,669 97¢ $1.7K +$64 09-20 05:15
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,633 $1,550 95¢ $1.5K -$1 10-23 02:49
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +9,286 $797 12¢ $1.1K +$340 11-06 10:07
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,094 $1,070 96¢ $1.0K -$21 10-08 14:43
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,125 $1,087 89¢ $1.0K -$83 09-20 19:50
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,389 $652 14¢ $727 +$76 11-06 17:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +759 $649 90¢ $680 +$30 09-20 19:43
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +570 $554 98¢ $560 +$6 11-07 20:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +528 $513 98¢ $515 +$2 10-20 18:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +500 $470 96¢ $477 +$7 10-22 07:52
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +488 $459 95¢ $466 +$7 09-30 14:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +465 $449 97¢ $451 +$2 10-18 12:25
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +321 $312 97¢ $313 +$1 11-01 06:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,250 $289 12¢ $271 -$18 10-29 17:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +393 $298 66¢ $261 -$37 09-16 21:33
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,310 $207 8¢ $248 +$41 11-06 15:23
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +239 $234 99¢ $236 +$3 09-30 18:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +254 $226 90¢ $230 +$4 09-19 10:41
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +232 $223 96¢ $224 +$1 09-18 14:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +393 $93 34¢ $132 +$39 09-18 17:54