(anonymous) 0xe69467…a43771 Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$287
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
34
Trades
1,404
lifetime
Volume
$82.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$64.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-11 21:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
71% 67% +$4
Sports
15% 37% -$1,289
Other
13% 0% -$8
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +16,495 $14,776 84¢ $13.9K -$920 10-09 05:41
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9,286 $8,611 85¢ $7.9K -$694 11-06 04:57
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +7,044 $6,167 86¢ $6.1K -$74 11-11 02:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5,164 $4,888 97¢ $5.0K +$123 11-09 21:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,564 $4,279 98¢ $4.5K +$175 10-20 12:03
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3,489 $3,368 98¢ $3.4K +$63 10-20 01:00
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,593 $3,359 92¢ $3.3K -$35 11-07 21:08
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,802 $2,626 94¢ $2.6K +$19 11-08 16:02
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +16,495 $1,762 16¢ $2.6K +$877 10-09 10:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,250 $1,962 91¢ $2.0K +$81 10-30 03:52
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,780 $1,669 97¢ $1.7K +$62 09-20 05:15
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,633 $1,550 95¢ $1.5K -$5 10-23 02:49
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +9,286 $797 15¢ $1.4K +$572 11-06 10:07
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,094 $1,070 95¢ $1.0K -$26 10-08 14:43
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,125 $1,087 88¢ $985 -$102 09-20 19:50
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,996 $868 14¢ $944 +$76 11-11 00:38
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +823 $803 98¢ $808 +$5 11-11 21:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +759 $649 93¢ $707 +$58 09-20 19:43
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +750 $645 86¢ $649 +$4 11-11 13:37
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +528 $513 97¢ $513 $0 10-20 18:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +500 $470 97¢ $484 +$14 10-22 07:52
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +488 $459 94¢ $461 +$2 09-30 14:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +465 $449 98¢ $453 +$4 10-18 12:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +393 $298 84¢ $332 +$33 09-16 21:33
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +321 $312 98¢ $313 +$2 11-01 06:52
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,310 $207 8¢ $248 +$41 11-06 15:23
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +239 $234 99¢ $236 +$2 09-30 18:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +254 $226 92¢ $235 +$9 09-19 10:41
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +232 $223 97¢ $225 +$1 09-18 14:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,250 $289 9¢ $208 -$81 10-29 17:51