(anonymous) 0xe69467…a43771 Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$166
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
254
1,318 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$14.8K
$75.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$58.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-06 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
71% 67% +$4
Other
14% 0% -$8
Sports
14% 37% -$1,289
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +16,495 $14,776 85¢ $14.0K -$796 10-09 05:41
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +9,131 $8,476 87¢ $7.9K -$527 11-05 23:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,564 $4,279 97¢ $4.4K +$134 10-20 12:03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,933 $4,343 88¢ $4.3K -$27 11-06 00:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3,489 $3,368 98¢ $3.4K +$35 10-20 01:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3,136 $2,928 97¢ $3.0K +$104 11-04 08:24
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,175 $2,970 94¢ $3.0K -$2 11-04 17:05
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +16,495 $1,762 15¢ $2.5K +$753 10-09 10:19
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,173 $2,034 94¢ $2.0K +$13 11-04 05:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,250 $1,962 88¢ $2.0K +$15 10-30 03:52
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,780 $1,669 97¢ $1.7K +$65 09-20 05:15
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,633 $1,550 96¢ $1.6K +$13 10-23 02:49
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8,765 $725 13¢ $1.1K +$410 11-05 23:18
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,094 $1,070 97¢ $1.1K -$13 10-08 14:43
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,125 $1,087 91¢ $1.0K -$66 09-20 19:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +759 $649 88¢ $672 +$23 09-20 19:43
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,985 $603 12¢ $623 +$20 11-05 08:15
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +528 $513 98¢ $515 +$2 10-20 18:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +500 $470 94¢ $472 +$2 10-22 07:52
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +488 $459 96¢ $467 +$8 09-30 14:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +465 $449 96¢ $448 -$1 10-18 12:25
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +437 $423 97¢ $425 +$2 11-03 19:12
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +321 $312 97¢ $312 +$0 11-01 06:52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,250 $289 12¢ $273 -$16 10-29 17:51
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +239 $234 99¢ $236 +$3 09-30 18:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +254 $226 90¢ $230 +$4 09-19 10:41
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +232 $223 96¢ $224 +$1 09-18 14:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +393 $298 56¢ $222 -$77 09-16 21:33
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,042 $191 6¢ $198 +$7 11-05 19:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +393 $93 44¢ $171 +$78 09-18 17:54